2027: Sim 1 (121 views)

[eric]

Schedule | Standings | Injuries | League Leaders | Awards

expanded standings

ORtg DRtg MOV SOS SRS team
122.7 104.5 17.3 1.2 24.9 Blackhawks
123.9 124.5 1.6 13.8 6.5 Bullets
136.6 108.2 31.0 -7.9 27.8 Bulls
129.7 105.9 23.0 1.3 26.7 Globetrotters
134.0 108.3 23.4 -8.9 13.3 Hawks
136.8 118.3 16.4 -9.8 21.5 Heat
130.5 122.7 5.9 -2.5 14.7 Hornets
134.5 96.9 35.3 -10.3 22.3 Magic
119.2 117.3 1.5 -1.9 6.3 Mavericks
116.0 119.5 -5.4 -.2 6.6 Oaks
141.6 101.0 39.5 -24.3 19.4 Pistons
125.6 111.7 16.9 5.3 21.7 Trail_Blazers


ORank DRank ORtg DRtg MOV SOS SRS Luck xWins xSeed P'offs Odds team
3 5 136.6 108.2 31.0 -7.9 27.8 -3 90 3 100% .647 Bulls
7 4 129.7 105.9 23.0 1.3 26.7 -3 86 1 100% .288 Globetrotters
10 3 122.7 104.5 17.3 1.2 24.9 -1 80 5 100% .059 Blackhawks
4 1 134.5 96.9 35.3 -10.3 22.3 0 70 2 100% .005 Magic
8 7 125.6 111.7 16.9 5.3 21.7 -1 67 4 100% .001 Trail_Blazers
2 9 136.8 118.3 16.4 -9.8 21.5 0 67 9 100% .000 Heat
1 2 141.6 101.0 39.5 -24.3 19.4 0 59 7 99% .000 Pistons
6 11 130.5 122.7 5.9 -2.5 14.7 0 39 10 63% .000 Hornets
5 6 134.0 108.3 23.4 -8.9 13.3 3 37 6 38% .000 Hawks
12 10 116.0 119.5 -5.4 -.2 6.6 2 8 12 0% .000 Oaks
9 12 123.9 124.5 1.6 13.8 6.5 3 9 8 0% .000 Bullets
11 8 119.2 117.3 1.5 -1.9 6.3 4 10 11 0% .000 Mavericks


ORtg - Offensive Rating (points scored per 100 possessions)
DRtg - Defense Rating (points allowed per 100 possessions)
MOV  - Margin Of Victory (net points per game)
SOS  - Strength of Schedule
SRS  - Simple Rating System = MOV + SOS + correction for home court %
Luck - difference between actual wins and MOV predicted wins, positive means lucky, negative unlucky
P'offs - chance of reaching playoffs
Odds - projected fractional title odds

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Regular Season Champion

ATLANTA HAWKS


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.1. .2. .3. .4. .5. .6. .7. .8. .9. .10 .11 .12 .13 .14 .15 .16 .17 .18 .19 .20 .21 .22 .23 .24
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.25 .26 .27 .28 .29 .30 .31 .32 .33 .34 .35 .36 .37 .38 .39 .40 .41 .42 .43 .44 .45 .46 .47 .48
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.49 .50 .51 .52 .53 .54 .55 .56 .57 .58 .59 .60 .61 .62 .63 .64 .65 .66 .67 .68 .69 .70 .71 .72
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.73 .74 .75 .76 .77 .78 .79 .80 .81 .82 .83 .84 .85 .86 .87 .88 .89 .90 .91 .92 .93 .94 .95 .96
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
.97 .98 .99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120

Upcoming Schedule
Hawks @ Bulls
Hawks @ Suns
No Game
Bobcats @ Hawks
No Game
Hawks @ SuperSonics
Oaks @ Hawks
Hawks @ Floridians
Floridians @ Hawks
No Game

[eric]

Note - I'm updating the SRS methodology this year to include preseason predictions on a sliding scale: 1/6 of the value will be regular season and 5/6 preseason after sim 1, 2/6 and 4/6 after sim 2, and so on until sim 6 and after when 100% of the value will be regular season. This is why MOV + SOS + home% correction no longer adds up to SRS. Without the adjustment, we would see title odds of .541 for Harlem, .202 for Chicago, .177 for Orlando. This should smooth out early season results.

[👨🏼‍⚕️delapandemic🚑]

Mavs too low