2026: Sim 1 (124 views)

[eric]

Schedule | Standings | Injuries | League Leaders | Awards

expanded standings

ORtg DRtg MOV SOS SRS team
121.5 111.4 12.0 16.1 26.7 Blackhawks
115.8 112.4 2.8 -7.2 -6.0 Bullets
127.4 105.6 22.4 -11.7 11.1 Bulls
128.9 102.8 27.0 -14.7 12.3 Globetrotters
121.6 119.9 1.8 5.9 10.1 Hawks
124.5 117.4 8.3 9.3 16.6 Heat
130.0 111.8 18.2 -7.0 11.0 Hornets
132.0 119.1 11.1 9.6 21.1 Magic
126.8 111.7 10.4 -8.9 2.9 Mavericks
141.9 100.8 36.3 -20.9 16.5 Oaks
123.2 108.3 14.9 16.8 31.7 Pistons
118.5 115.6 4.3 3.1 6.6 Trail_Blazers


ORank DRank ORtg DRtg MOV SOS SRS Luck xWins xSeed P'offs Odds team
8 4 123.2 108.3 14.9 16.8 31.7 -8 124 1 100% .971 Pistons
10 5 121.5 111.4 12.0 16.1 26.7 -2 107 3 100% .029 Blackhawks
2 11 132.0 119.1 11.1 9.6 21.1 -3 79 2 100% .000 Magic
7 10 124.5 117.4 8.3 9.3 16.6 -2 59 5 100% .000 Heat
1 1 141.9 100.8 36.3 -20.9 16.5 0 61 4 100% .000 Oaks
4 2 128.9 102.8 27.0 -14.7 12.3 1 42 6 92% .000 Globetrotters
5 3 127.4 105.6 22.4 -11.7 11.1 2 38 8 74% .000 Bulls
3 7 130.0 111.8 18.2 -7.0 11.0 3 38 7 78% .000 Hornets
9 12 121.6 119.9 1.8 5.9 10.1 4 35 9 54% .000 Hawks
11 9 118.5 115.6 4.3 3.1 6.6 3 18 10 2% .000 Trail_Blazers
6 6 126.8 111.7 10.4 -8.9 2.9 4 2 11 0% .000 Mavericks
12 8 115.8 112.4 2.8 -7.2 -6.0 6 -38 12 0% .000 Bullets


ORtg - Offensive Rating (points scored per 100 possessions)
DRtg - Defense Rating (points allowed per 100 possessions)
MOV  - Margin Of Victory (net points per game)
SOS  - Strength of Schedule
SRS  - Simple Rating System = MOV + SOS + correction for home court %
Luck - difference between actual wins and MOV predicted wins, positive means lucky, negative unlucky
P'offs - chance of reaching playoffs
Odds - projected fractional title odds

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Regular Season Champion

TRI-CITIES BLACKHAWKS


... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
.1. .2. .3. .4. .5. .6. .7. .8. .9. .10 .11 .12 .13 .14 .15 .16 .17 .18 .19 .20 .21 .22 .23 .24
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.25 .26 .27 .28 .29 .30 .31 .32 .33 .34 .35 .36 .37 .38 .39 .40 .41 .42 .43 .44 .45 .46 .47 .48
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.49 .50 .51 .52 .53 .54 .55 .56 .57 .58 .59 .60 .61 .62 .63 .64 .65 .66 .67 .68 .69 .70 .71 .72
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
.73 .74 .75 .76 .77 .78 .79 .80 .81 .82 .83 .84 .85 .86 .87 .88 .89 .90 .91 .92 .93 .94 .95 .96
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
.97 .98 .99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120

Upcoming Schedule
Kings @ Blackhawks
No Game
Blackhawks @ Nuggets
Pistons @ Blackhawks
Squires @ Blackhawks
No Game
Blackhawks @ Kings
Floridians @ Blackhawks
No Game
No Game

[eric]

N.B.: i found a multiplier for SOS that makes the ending regular season results better predict the playoffs. it maaaaaaay be a little too strong for early season sims. just a smidge.

[Deleted]

Oct 17, 2019 16:33:16 GMT eric said:

N.B.: i found a multiplier for SOS that makes the ending regular season results better predict the playoffs. it maaaaaaay be a little too strong for early season sims. just a smidge.

I like the new methodology