Post by jhb on Mar 19, 2018 13:18:26 GMT
Here at Big BoardTM HQ, we are constantly at the cutting edge of trying to scout (guess) which players will be good before we ever get to see them in a sim. With that in mind, I present to you the Creation Draft Big BoardTM and will give a run-down of how the Creation Draft went vs what the Big BoardTM says about each of the players in this draft.
I've broken down my method a couple of times in 4.0 but I'm constantly updating it...so as a 30k foot overview, the Big BoardTM takes each players alphabetic grades and converts those values into numerical values based on each grade range's midpoint in the software. I then weight higher grades better and lower grades worse because the better a grade is, the more likely it is to reflect true talent at a position (i.e. A+ inside scoring doesn't lie but B inside scoring could include 100 jumping and low attributes otherwise). I then do a weighted average of total attributes and each position has a different formula. The components are weighted as such:
Height, age, and potential - 20% (height is a very small factor ~1%)
Scoring - 45-60% depending on position
Defense/Rebounding - 20-35% depending on position
As you can see, the Big BoardTM is mostly looking to identify who can get buckets. Based on the weighting on numeric grades, it also rewards players with elite skills or good all around games and really dings those with obvious flaws in their games (C- or worse attributes especially).
For right now though, I'm really interested in trying to answer the question of how each GM did in the draft at fielding a team for this upcoming season. Therefore, I've removed the weight for age and potential in my formula so that we can just see how the big board ranks the productive grades of each prospect in the draft. Trying to predict any further than that with the Big BoardTM is foolish at this point because there are a lot of variables at play - what true potential each prospect has, how the GM upgrades them, how the TC's actually go, GM quality, etc.
Without further ado, below is the first annual 5.0 Big BoardTM (with potential and age calculations removed):
So now that we have an objective (my own biases about what makes a player good excluded) ranking of all the players in the draft based on the grades that we have assigned, let's answer some questions about which GM's are good and which GM's suck!
Note: for the purpose of ranking players, I treated each FA signing after the draft as another draft pick and slotted them in order of signing. For example, there were 290 players drafted. The 8th player signed in FA would be pick# 298.
Who made the biggest reach?
1. Magic (-375) - Udoka Azubuike (Drafted at 63, Big BoardTM #438)
2. Bucks (-319) - Tacko Fall (Drafted at 51, Big BoardTM #370)
3. Warriors (-299) - Robert Williams (Drafted at 93, Big BoardTM #392)
4. Hornets (-287) - Trevon Duval (Drafted at 57, Big BoardTM #344)
5. Jazz (-284) - Corey Woods (Drafted at 90, Big BoardTM #374)
Honorable mentions:
(-103) RJ Barrett, Hornets (Drafted at 2, Big BoardTM #105)
(-173) Collin Sexton, Timberwolves (Drafted at 1, Big BoardTM #174)
(-241) Tobi Oyedeji, Pacers (Drafted at 45, Big BoardTM #286)
#1 is obviously a case of where the Big BoardTM was wrong. When I made the grades for Azubuike, I was attempting to create the model of an athletic finisher at the rim who has the potential to be a plus defender and rebounder. I didn't think it could happen in the software, but the early returns from preseason are fairly good. Regardless, the Big BoardTM nerfed him because of my own previous biases about the F+ outside. Looks like we were wrong at Big BoardTM about his ability to be useful, although the value on the pick is still a little questionable IMO. Big BoardTM doesn't give a shit about your D/R bigs, obviously.
LOL Fecta. Trevon Duval was the only non-big reach in the top 5 which followed up his RJ Barrett pick, who was the first guy to be an over-100 spot reach per the Big Board.
Collin Sexton was always going to be overdrafted based on what the Big Board said due to his youth and Odin's love of Alabama. But trading up to draft a guy to play PG who can't play PG yet and then having the 1.1 be a super-sub? Yikes.
Who had the best steal of the draft?
1. Mavericks (+291) - Fletcher McGee (signed at #331, Big BoardTM #40)
2. Hornets (+282) - Jared Terrell (signed at #345, Big BoardTM #63)
3. Knicks (+280) - Richard Richards (signed at #317, Big BoardTM #37)
4. Bucks (+279) - Tra Holder (signed at #398, Big BoardTM #119)
5. Hawks (+262) - Desean Murray (signed at #337, Big BoardTM #75)
Honorable Mentions:
(+170) Phil Lovelette (Drafted at 180, Big Board #10)
(+130) Omar Little (Drafted at 151, Big Board #21)
(+80) Keita Bates-Diop (Drafted at 116, Big Board #36)
The Big BoardTM WILL overrate your shooters. Most of these guys in the top 5 were propped up by A or better shooting. They may have been overlooked as everyone will need efficient scoring but it remains to be seen if their elite skill can cover up the other flaws in their games.
The people who drafted best in the middle rounds according to the Big BoardTM were those who went and got 30+ scoring guards on short contracts who fell further than they should have.
Also, shoutout to newish GM Val Venis for making a great pick with Keita Bates-Diop, who had a nice all-around skill profile for a young player.
On average, who got the most value for their picks?
To answer this question, I took the delta between Big BoardTM slot and draft slot for each player drafted by each team and I took the average of those values.
Best:
Rockets (+52.9)
Knicks (+34.1)
SuperSonics (+30.8)
Magic (+30.3)
Clippers (+30.1)
Worst:
Raptors (-77.0)
Hornets (-76.6)
Warriors (-66.8)
Cavaliers (-59.8)
Lakers (-48.7)
Keep in mind the Big BoardTM is weighted towards current production because we are answering the question "who can compete this year" before all you guys who drafted teenagers get up in arms about being listed in the bottom 5.
Who drafted the youngest/oldest teams?
Oldest:
Spurs - 31.3 years old
Knicks - 29.3 years old
Clippers - 29.0 years old
Cavaliers - 28.5 years old
SuperSonics - 27.5 years old
Youngest:
Hornets - 19.9 years old
Bullets - 20.8 years old
Bulls - 21.1 years old
Nuggets - 21.6 years old
Raptors - 21.6 years old
The future is (maybe) bright for very young teams like the Hornets and Bulls and Bullets. The Spurs better get ready to make a run in the postseason this season and then a run to Germany this offseason.
Who acquired the most talent?
To answer this question, I looked at the total sum of the grades of all players acquired by each team. Obviously, this number will be skewed at the top by those that have filled their G-League programs. But maybe that will be a benefit down the road?
Best:
Kings - 28 players, 1646.4 grade sum
Hawks - 22 players, 1519.7 grade sum
Heat - 18 players, 1166.0 grade sum
Timberwolves - 16 players, 1077.7 grade sum
Globetrotters - 15 players, 1052.0 grade sum
Worst:
Cavaliers - 10 players, 685.8 grade sum
Raptors - 11 players, 716.5 grade sum
Lakers - 12 players, 752.8 grade sum
Bucks - 12 players, 781.2 grade sum
Hornets - 12 players, 782.3 grade sum
So much for everyone who said the Central was stacked.
Who acquired the the most talented players on average?
Finally, on average, who drafted the most talented players. For this calculation, I just took the total grade sum number above and divided it by number of players to show who extracted the most value for each person they acquired.
Keep in mind when looking at the average grades, this is the scale for players based on the distribution of players in the draft file:
85-100 All-Star Caliber
74-85 Starter Caliber
67-74 Rotation Player
57-67 Replacement Level
0-57 Below Replacement
Best:
Knicks - 75.7 average grade
Spurs - 75.0 average grade
Clippers - 74.4 average grade
SuperSonics - 73.9 average grade
Rockets - 73.8 average grade
Worst:
Kings - 58.8 average grade
Lakers - 62.7 average grade
Nuggets - 63.3 average grade
Heat - 64.8 average grade
Bucks - 65.1 average grade
In summary, I think there is a pretty clear group of winners and losers from this year's creation draft. Rockets, Clippers, Knicks, Hawks, Spurs, SuperSonics all consistently rated well and the preseason results reflect that. Teams like the Warriors, Hornets, Lakers, etc. did not and the preseason also reflects that.
Footnote: Here is the full chart with the data from the pivot I used for the second half of the article.
I've broken down my method a couple of times in 4.0 but I'm constantly updating it...so as a 30k foot overview, the Big BoardTM takes each players alphabetic grades and converts those values into numerical values based on each grade range's midpoint in the software. I then weight higher grades better and lower grades worse because the better a grade is, the more likely it is to reflect true talent at a position (i.e. A+ inside scoring doesn't lie but B inside scoring could include 100 jumping and low attributes otherwise). I then do a weighted average of total attributes and each position has a different formula. The components are weighted as such:
Height, age, and potential - 20% (height is a very small factor ~1%)
Scoring - 45-60% depending on position
Defense/Rebounding - 20-35% depending on position
As you can see, the Big BoardTM is mostly looking to identify who can get buckets. Based on the weighting on numeric grades, it also rewards players with elite skills or good all around games and really dings those with obvious flaws in their games (C- or worse attributes especially).
For right now though, I'm really interested in trying to answer the question of how each GM did in the draft at fielding a team for this upcoming season. Therefore, I've removed the weight for age and potential in my formula so that we can just see how the big board ranks the productive grades of each prospect in the draft. Trying to predict any further than that with the Big BoardTM is foolish at this point because there are a lot of variables at play - what true potential each prospect has, how the GM upgrades them, how the TC's actually go, GM quality, etc.
Without further ado, below is the first annual 5.0 Big BoardTM (with potential and age calculations removed):
Pos Height Weight Age In Out Hn Df Reb Pot Grade Name
SG 6'5" 195 26 C A+ C- B+ C C 102.5 Gary Bossert
PF 6'9" 215 25 B B+ B B A B 101.7 Dolph Schayes
PG 5'11" 170 30 B+ A B C D C 99.1 Benji Hammon
SF 6'6" 210 27 B A- C B- B- C 98.7 Gerald Martin Johanssen
SF 6'7" 220 28 B+ B D+ A- B- C 98.6 Chalky Studebaker
SG 6'7" 245 35 A- B+ B+ B+ C F 96.6 Nick Diaz
SF 6'10" 225 24 A- B D B B B 95.6 Elvis Delle Donne
PF 6'9" 230 31 A- B C- B B C 95.6 Jon Pierce
SF 6'7" 200 33 B- A- C- B- C+ D 93.9 Ronald Savage
SG 6'9" 240 40 C+ A- B- B- B- D 93.2 Phil Lovelette
PF 6'10" 250 32 B- B+ C+ B- B D 90.7 Jeff Murray
C 6'10" 220 23 A C+ B B- B- B 90.6 Firsto Picko
C 6'11" 255 34 C A- B B+ C+ D 90.0 Marcus Bol
SG 6'3" 190 24 C+ A C C C C 89.9 Kendrick Nunn
SF 6'6" 250 34 B B B B B D 89.5 Bill Murray
SF 6'5" 230 28 B+ B C- C+ B B 88.3 Jackie Moon
C 6'9" 250 32 C+ B+ C- B B C 88.2 John Smith
SF 6'7" 220 32 B+ B- C- B B C 87.7 Ricky Roe
SF 6'7" 225 30 B+ B- C- B+ B- C 87.4 Jake Shuttlesworth
SF 6'8" 215 24 B- B+ C+ B C+ B 87.3 Benji Wilson
PG 5'10" 175 34 B A- B- C- D D 87.1 Omar Little
SG 6'3" 195 33 C A C B+ C- D 87.0 Jimmy Chitwood
PF 6'10" 280 31 B B- C+ B+ B C 86.9 Clifford Smith
C 7'0" 265 26 A+ C C- C A- C 86.9 George Mikan
CG 6'4" 205 30 B- A- B B- C- C 86.8 Dan Cortezzee
PG 5'11" 185 25 C+ A- A- B C- C 86.8 Brain Winter
PG 6'4" 175 32 B+ B+ B+ B+ D+ D 86.8 Jesse Epstein
SF 6'5" 210 25 B+ B- C+ A- C+ C 86.8 Malcolm Moore
SF 6'6" 200 29 C B+ C- B+ B C 86.5 Terrence Catchings
F 6'8" 240 23 B- B D+ B- B B 86.4 Yante Maten
PF 6'8" 250 31 C- A- C- B+ B- C 86.4 Dean Cain
PF 6'9" 210 25 A- C+ C B B+ C 86.1 Cameron Parker
PF 6'7" 216 24 B- B+ C B- C+ C 86.1 Jeff Roberson
SF 6'8" 230 28 B- B C B B- D 86.0 Riley Steele
C 6'10" 290 31 A C B C+ B+ C 85.9 Stan Haynes
F 6'7" 190 24 B B- C B B C 85.6 Keita Bates-Diop
PF 6'9" 225 33 C+ A- B C- B- C 85.5 Richard Richards
C 6'11" 265 27 A C+ C- B+ C+ C 85.2 Stephon Templeton
C 6'9" 350 32 A- B- B- C B- D 85.0 Damien Mama
SG 6'4" 195 22 C A C C D+ C 84.7 Fletcher McGee
SG 6'4" 211 24 C A D+ C D+ C 84.7 Frank Booker
PF 6'10" 220 29 B+ B- C- B+ C+ D 84.6 Laurence Jackson
F 6'9" 225 25 B- B C- C+ B B 84.3 Yirmiyaho Iair
SF 6'6" 205 24 B- B B- C+ B B 84.2 Jim Pollard
PG 6'2" 250 31 B B+ A- C+ D+ D 84.1 Sim Dump
SG 6'5" 200 26 C+ A- B- B- C+ C 84.1 Jesus Shuttlesworth
C 6'11" 270 29 A C D+ B+ B C 83.8 Neon Boudeaux
SG 6'5" 220 29 B B+ B- B+ C C 83.8 Frank Selvy
C 7'0" 210 31 B+ C+ D B+ B+ D 83.6 Leonard Leslie
SG 6'7" 195 32 C+ A- B B- C D 83.5 Borat Sagdiyev
C 7'5" 300 27 C+ B- B+ B+ B+ B 83.2 Faye Vincent Reagan
PF 6'8" 230 30 B+ C C C+ A+ D 83.0 Harry Gallatin
PG 5'10" 180 31 B- B- A A C- C 83.0 Rowdy Eavenson
CG 6'5" 200 25 B B+ B- B- C B 82.9 Daniel Taurasi
F 6'10" 215 20 B- B C- C+ B- A 82.7 Michael Porter Jr.
C 6'8" 235 28 B- B A- C+ B- B 82.7 Dwight McGhee
F 6'10" 200 21 C+ B C B B- C 82.5 Killian Tillie
SF 6'7" 190 24 B- B- C+ B- B C 82.4 Chandler Hutchison
PG 6'3" 190 41 B B+ B C+ C- D 82.4 Ed Monix
C 7'2" 260 34 A- C C+ B- A- C 82.4 Scotty Poodles
PG 6'0" 190 26 B B+ B C+ C- B 82.3 Bobby McDermott
C 7'2" 225 19 C B+ C+ C+ B A 82.1 Bol Bol
SG 6'3" 220 24 C+ A- C B- D+ C 82.0 Jared Terrell
PF 6'7" 210 22 B- B C+ B- C+ B 81.9 Peyton Gragg
PG 5'10" 165 31 B B+ B C+ D C 81.8 Neetnum Nagdorus
PG 6'0" 173 24 C A- B+ B- D D 81.7 Matt Farrell
SG 6'6" 197 25 D A+ C+ B- D+ C 81.6 Kendall Stephens
PG 6'0" 185 21 C- A A- C- D+ C 81.4 Cassius Winston
F 6'7" 227 22 C+ B C+ B- B- B 81.2 Luke Maye
F 6'9" 245 22 B- B D+ C B- C 80.9 Mike Daum
F 6'11" 240 19 B- B- C- B- B- B 80.9 Jontay Porter
SG 6'4" 200 32 C+ A- C C C- D 80.9 Billy Hoyle
PF 6'7" 265 27 B- B- B- B- B- B 80.8 Jan Michael Vincent
CG 6'2" 225 30 C+ A- B C D+ C 80.7 Dutch Burch
C 6'3" 230 19 C B C- C A- C 80.7 Desean Murray
SF 6'7" 220 24 C+ B C+ C+ B C 80.6 Vincent Edwards
PF 6'9" 260 30 B C C- B A C 80.5 Scoonie Saperstein
PG 5'5" 140 28 D+ A A- D+ D+ C 80.3 Lil Penny
SF 6'8" 216 22 C+ B+ B- B- C C 80.2 DJ Hogg
SF 6'7" 210 19 B- B C+ C+ C+ A 79.8 Cameron Reddish
SF 6'7" 220 32 C B+ C- B+ C D 79.7 Eligin Baylor
SF 6'8" 225 36 A- B- D B C- F 79.7 Matthew Lockhart
SG 6'4" 205 26 B B B- B C+ B 79.7 Clarence Withers
PF 6'5" 225 24 B C+ C- B+ B B 79.6 Bonzie Colson
SF 6'6" 215 24 B- B C B- C C 79.6 Kelan Martin
SF 6'8" 205 24 C+ B C+ B C+ B 79.6 Bones McKinney
C 7'1" 250 20 B+ C+ C- B- B A 79.5 DeAndre Ayton
CG 5'11" 180 23 C+ A- C+ C- C- C 79.5 Jordan Howard
CG 6'2" 190 29 B- B+ B- B- C- C 79.0 Juwanna Mann
F 6'8" 220 21 B- C+ C C+ B- B 79.0 Braxton Key
SF 6'8" 235 33 B+ C+ B+ B B- C 79.0 Sandor Clegane
F 6'10" 210 23 B- B- C- C+ B- B 78.8 Moritz Wagner
PG 6'1" 165 27 B B B+ C+ C- C 78.8 Barry Obama
SF 6'8" 230 23 B- B- C- C+ B- C 78.7 Juwan Morgan
SF 6'5" 210 24 C B+ C- C B- C 78.6 Egor Koulechov
CG 6'5" 210 24 C A- B+ B- C- C 78.4 Devon Hall
SF 6'9" 205 20 C+ B B B- C+ B 78.4 Isaac Bonga
F 6'9" 220 26 B C+ C+ C A- B 78.2 Halawi Winabi
PF 6'10" 250 20 B- B D+ C C+ A 78.1 Alex Reese
SF 6'7" 190 21 C+ B+ B- C+ C C 78.1 Kevin Huerter
C 6'10" 230 21 B- B- C- B- C+ A 78.1 Jaren Jackson Jr.
C 6'10" 260 19 B- B- C- B- C+ A 78.1 Wendell Carter Jr.
CG 6'5" 195 25 B B B+ C C+ B 78.0 Carl Braun
CG 5'9" 165 22 B- B+ C D+ C+ D 78.0 Chris Clemons
SF 6'7" 200 19 B- B- C B- C+ A 78.0 RJ Barrett
C 7'2" 240 26 A- C D A C C 77.9 Brandon Griner
SG 6'6" 195 31 B B D B C- C 77.9 Krombopulos Michael
SF 6'6" 215 30 C B C B+ C+ C 77.9 Howie Dallmar
SF 6'8" 225 23 B B- B- B- C C 77.6 Dean Wade
SG 6'3" 210 25 B- B+ C- C D+ C 77.6 Marcus Foster
SG 6'2" 180 19 C A- B C+ D+ B 77.5 Trae Young
SG 6'7" 225 25 B B C- B- C- B 77.5 Shavon Shields
CG 6'3" 200 23 B- B+ C+ C+ D B 77.5 Timo Cruz
SG 6'7" 190 22 B- B C B C+ B 77.2 Mikal Bridges
PG 6'2" 175 23 C- A- A- B+ C- C 77.1 Devonte Graham
SG 6'5" 200 26 B- B D+ C+ B- B 76.8 Michael Snaer
SF 6'7" 210 23 C+ B- C C+ B B 76.7 Kevin Hervey
SF 6'7" 220 25 B B- C- C- B C 76.7 Nick King
CG 6'1" 165 24 C- A B- C C- C 76.5 Tra Holder
SG 6'7" 225 28 C+ B+ C B C D 76.2 Tanner Cousy
SF 6'7" 195 23 C+ B C+ B- C C 76.0 Caleb Martin
PG 6'3" 180 21 B- B B C+ C- C 76.0 Elle Okobo
CG 6'3" 200 23 B B C+ C D+ B 76.0 Jalen Brunson
C 6'10" 235 29 B- C D+ A- B+ D 76.0 Sum Ting Wong
PG 6'1" 170 21 B B- B B C C 75.9 Shamorie Ponds
C 6'9" 200 23 C+ C+ C- B+ B+ C 75.9 Ajdin Penava
PG 6'4" 180 21 C+ B+ B C C- B 75.7 Landry Shamet
SF 6'6" 215 24 C B+ C+ C C+ B 75.7 Trevon Bluiett
SF 6'9" 227 18 B C+ C- B- B- A 75.7 Sekou Doumbouya
SG 6'5" 180 34 B B- C+ B+ C D 75.6 Shannon Swoopes
C 6'11" 235 19 B+ C+ D+ C B A 75.5 Marvin Bagley III
C 7'0" 285 28 A- C D+ C+ B C 75.4 Gregor Clegane
C 6'8" 325 29 C- C C A B+ D 75.4 Theodosios Cathasach
PF 6'6" 275 18 A- C C C+ B A 75.2 Zion Williamson
PG 6'2" 175 32 B- B- B+ B+ C+ C 75.1 Sidney Deane
PG 6'11" 190 37 C+ B A- B D+ D 75.1 Red Holzman
C 7'1" 250 20 B- C+ D- B B- B 75.0 Brandon McCoy
C 6'11" 225 20 B- C+ C- B B- B 75.0 Mohamed Bamba
SG 6'5" 240 40 B- B B- B- C- D 74.9 Lavar Ball
SF 6'7" 230 24 B- C+ C B B- C 74.9 Gary Clark
CG 6'3" 180 33 B- B C+ B- C- D 74.8 Cyril Cooper
CG 6'3" 200 22 B- B C B- C- C 74.8 Khyri Thomas
PG 6'2" 180 28 C- A- B B D+ C 74.8 Sean Bird
C 7'0" 350 29 B+ C D+ B B C 74.8 Paul Wight
PG 5'6" 150 29 C- A- B+ B- D+ C 74.8 Brian Newell
PF 6'10" 205 30 C+ C+ C+ C+ A- C 74.4 Red Rocha
F 6'8" 205 21 C B C- B C A 74.3 Shu Shuvington
CG 6'8" 230 19 B B- B- C C+ A 74.1 Luka Doncic
CG 6'3" 180 23 B- B B C+ C- A 74.1 Max Zaslofsky
PG 5'9" 200 29 D+ A- B B+ D C 74.1 Page Savva
SG 6'4" 200 26 C+ B+ C+ B D B 74.0 Scootsie Doubleday
PF 6'10" 220 22 C+ B C+ C+ C B 73.9 Bennie Boatwright
SG 6'5" 195 20 C+ B C+ C- C A 73.9 John Petty
C 6'10" 230 32 D+ B+ B+ B C+ D 73.9 Mike Novak
PG 6'4" 190 34 C B A B C+ D 73.9 Gam-Zish Tibernes
SF 6'7" 190 22 C+ B C+ C+ C B 73.9 Deng Adel
F 6'8" 210 20 D+ B- C- B- A- B 73.8 O'Shae Brissett
PG 6'0" 200 31 B C+ A A C D 73.7 Sim Boyd
SG 6'5" 190 18 B- B B- C C- A 73.6 Romeo Langford
CG 6'4" 190 20 B- B C C C- B 73.6 Allonzo Trier
SF 6'10" 260 29 A- C B- C B C 73.6 Alredick Hughes
PG 6'0" 190 28 C+ B B+ C+ C+ C 73.6 Teodor Ethan
F 6'10" 245 25 C+ B- B C B- B 73.4 Isidoro Meyers
F 6'7" 220 28 B C+ D+ C B C 73.3 Jason Lyle
SG 6'4" 207 21 B- B- C B C+ C 73.2 Josh Okogie
SF 6'7" 230 21 C B C- B- C B 73.1 Danjel Purifoy
PG 6'1" 170 24 C B A B D+ C 72.8 Jordan McLaughlin
CG 6'4" 215 24 B B- B- C+ C- C 72.8 Devin Lonc
PG 6'3" 185 23 C- A- B C D- B 72.7 Austin Luke
SF 6'8" 250 26 B- C C- A- B- C 72.7 Pete Holzman
F 6'7" 225 24 B C C- B B B 72.6 Joe Fulks
SG 6'5" 205 24 C+ B C- B C+ B 72.5 Tyler Blevins
PG 6'3" 190 22 B- B- B- C+ C+ B 72.4 Jon Elmore
CG 6'1" 190 19 B C+ C+ B C+ A 72.4 Collin Sexton
PG 6'1" 180 22 B- B C+ C- D+ B 72.4 Justin Wright-Foreman
PG 6'1" 185 22 C B+ B- C+ D+ C 72.4 Aaron Holiday
C 6'10" 240 27 B C D B+ B- C 72.3 Ed Mikan
CG 6'3" 185 25 C+ B B- B+ C D 72.3 Thomas Wilder
C 7'0" 330 31 B- C C+ C+ A- D 72.2 Glenn Jacobs
SG 6'7" 230 20 B- B- C C+ C+ A 72.1 Miles Bridges
SF 6'6" 240 23 C+ B C- C C B 72.1 Dale Earnheart
PG 6'1" 175 19 C+ B B C C C 72.1 RJ Cole
CG 6'0" 180 20 B- B B- C- D+ B 72.1 Quade Green
F 6'10" 200 20 B- B- C- C C C 71.8 Arnoldas Kulboka
SG 6'5" 195 20 B- B- C- B+ C- B 71.8 Zhaire Smith
SF 6'7" 210 23 C C+ B B B+ C 71.6 Kenrich Williams
C 6'11" 255 24 B+ C C- C+ B C 71.5 Jock Landale
CG 6'1" 180 28 C+ B B+ B- C C 71.4 Bobby Wanzer
SG 6'6" 230 21 C+ B C+ C+ C+ B 71.4 LiAngelo Ball
CG 6'3" 175 20 C+ B C+ C+ C+ A 71.3 Jaylen Hands
PG 5'10" 200 31 C+ B- A- B+ C- B 71.3 Scoonie Murray
PF 6'7" 210 21 C+ C+ C B B- B 71.3 Anfernee McLemore
SG 6'4" 190 27 B- B- C B D+ C 71.2 Bob Feerick
SF 6'3" 180 23 C+ C+ C B B- C 71.2 Whitey Von Nieda
F 6'7" 205 21 B- C C- B- B+ B 71.1 Zylan Cheatham
CG 6'5" 230 28 B C+ C+ A+ C C 70.9 Butch McRae
CG 6'4" 177 19 B- B- C+ C C B 70.9 Anfernee Simons
PF 6'8" 195 18 B- C+ C- B- C+ A 70.8 Darius Bazley
SG 6'5" 200 20 C+ B C+ C+ C B 70.8 Donte DiVincenzo
CG 6'5" 195 23 C+ B C+ C+ C C 70.8 Shake Milton
SG 6'3" 165 21 C+ B C+ C+ C C 70.8 Kenny Williams
F 6'9" 215 19 B C+ C- C+ C+ A 70.7 Kevin Knox
CG 6'3" 178 22 C B+ C+ C C C 70.6 Malik Newman
PF 6'7" 225 32 C B- B C B- C 70.5 Gene Englund
PG 6'0" 160 23 C+ B- B+ B C C 70.4 Chris Chiozza
F 6'8" 205 23 B B- C C+ C- B 70.4 Donte Grantham
SG 6'3" 175 23 C+ B C+ B- C- C 70.2 Keenan Evans
SG 6'3" 202 23 B- B- C- C+ C- C 70.2 Jaylen Barford
CG 6'1" 190 21 C+ B B- B- C- B 70.1 Carsen Edwards
SG 6'4" 195 23 C+ B C+ B- D+ C 70.1 Grayson Allen
CG 6'1" 180 24 C- A- B- B- C- C 70.0 Jaylen Adams
SG 6'8" 195 24 C B+ C+ C+ C- B 70.0 Sviatoslav Mykhauiliuk
PF 6'10" 211 18 C+ B- D+ C+ C A 70.0 James Wiseman
SF 6'7" 195 19 C+ B- C- C+ C A 69.9 Brian Bowen
CG 6'2" 185 22 C+ B B- B D C 69.7 Kevaughn Allen
C 6'11" 260 28 A- C- C- B- B C 69.7 Paul Young Thomas
PG 6'1" 195 24 C B A- C D C 69.6 Emmett Naar
SF 6'8" 195 22 C B- C C+ C+ B 69.4 Markis McDuffie
CG 6'5" 205 21 C B+ B C C- B 69.4 Tony Carr
CG 6'2" 190 22 C+ B B C+ D+ C 69.3 Rob Gray
SF 6'6" 210 22 C B B- B C- B 69.2 Jacob Evans
SG 6'3" 165 21 C- A- C- B- D- B 68.9 Kyle Guy
SF 6'8" 210 20 C C C+ B+ B- B 68.8 Herb Jones
PF 6'10" 225 24 B- C+ C C+ C+ B 68.7 Nicolo Melli
F 6'8" 220 21 B- C+ D+ C+ C+ B 68.7 Guy Beahm
C 6'8" 230 19 B- C+ C C+ C+ B 68.7 Chuma Okeke
SG 6'3" 180 24 C- A- C- C D+ C 68.7 Kassius Robertson
SG 6'6" 215 29 C B C+ B+ C C 68.6 Broderick Langhi
PF 6'11" 215 22 C+ C+ C- B C+ B 68.5 Chimezie Metu
CG 6'3" 180 22 C+ B- B- B C+ C 68.5 Marcquise Reed
F 6'10" 200 20 B C+ C C+ C B 68.4 Tadas Sedekerskis
PG 6'0" 185 38 B+ C+ B C- C+ D 68.4 Scott Howard
SG 6'3" 200 23 C+ B- C- B- C+ C 68.1 Gabe DeVoe
PG 5'8" 175 30 A- C B B- D C 67.9 Prince Rogers Nelson
SG 6'5" 225 20 C B+ C- D+ D+ A 67.8 Coop Cooper
SG 6'5" 225 20 C B+ C- D+ D+ A 67.8 Doug Remer
SF 6'6" 210 21 C+ C+ C- C+ C A 67.7 Tevin Mack
PF 6'8" 225 22 B C D+ C+ B- B 67.7 Black Bush
PG 6'2" 190 31 C- B+ B+ B D+ C 67.7 Darrell Floyd
SG 6'6" 195 23 B C+ C+ C B- C 67.7 Theo Pinson
SF 6'6" 205 24 C B- C- C C+ C 67.6 Jeffrey Carroll
F 6'5" 240 23 C B- C C C+ B 67.5 Admiral Schofield
F 6'7" 235 23 B- C C- C B+ B 67.2 Jordan Caroline
PF 6'8" 240 23 C+ C C+ B B D 67.1 Jake Pelkington
SG 6'6" 210 19 C B C- C+ C A 67.0 Gary Trent Jr.
F 6'10" 190 20 C+ B- C- B- C- B 67.0 Rodions Kurucs
F 6'8" 235 21 C B- C- C+ C B 67.0 Keith Stone
SG 6'5" 220 20 C+ B- D+ C C+ A 66.9 Mustapha Heron
PG 6'2" 180 31 D+ B+ B+ B D B 66.7 Bob Davies
PG 5'11" 190 28 C B- A- C+ C- C 66.6 Fred Scolari
PG 6'6" 200 27 C B- B+ C+ C+ B 66.5 Roy Devyn White
SF 6'5" 200 22 B C+ C+ B C- C 66.5 Melvin Frazier
SG 6'5" 190 27 C B B B- C- B 66.5 Damien Carter
SF 6'5" 190 22 C+ C+ C+ A D+ C 66.4 Matisse Thybulle
F 6'8" 225 21 B- C+ D+ C+ C B 66.4 Rui Hachimura
SG 6'4" 205 21 B- C+ C+ B- B- B 66.3 Quinndary Weatherspoon
C 6'8" 250 22 B- C C B C+ C 66.2 Sagaba Konate
SG 6'3" 190 24 B- C+ A B C+ B 66.0 Meadowlark Lemon
PG 6'4" 205 29 B C A+ C C+ C 66.0 Quincy McCall
SG 6'6" 225 29 B+ C C+ B+ C+ C 66.0 Juan Keaney
C 6'10" 245 33 C C C- B B+ D 65.9 Mystic Stone
SG 6'6" 210 25 B+ C C+ B- B- C 65.9 Saleh Winabi
CG 6'0" 195 23 C B C+ C+ C- B 65.6 Joel Berry
F 6'8" 205 24 C- C+ C+ A- B- C 65.6 Isaiah Wilkins
SG 6'4" 190 20 C+ B- B- C+ C- A 65.5 Lonnie Walker
PF 6'9" 205 22 C+ C C- B B- B 65.5 Chris Silva
SG 6'2" 195 19 C+ B- B- C+ C- A 65.5 Nick Weatherspoon
PF 6'8" 265 24 C+ C C- B B- C 65.5 Jimmy Graham
SF 6'9" 230 22 C B- D+ B C- B 65.3 Walter Hardaway
SF 6'9" 195 19 C+ C+ C C+ C+ A 65.1 Dzanan Musa
SG 6'5" 195 23 B- C+ C B- C B 65.1 Jalen Hudson
SF 6'7" 215 18 B- C C B- C+ A 65.0 Nassir Little
SG 6'5" 215 21 B- C+ C C+ C+ A 64.9 Jim Halpert
PG 6'3" 180 18 C B- B C+ C- A 64.9 Immanuel Quickley
PG 6'3" 195 24 C C+ B B C B 64.5 Tony Pierce
SF 6'6" 190 21 C+ C B- B- B- A 64.2 Bruce Brown
CG 6'5" 205 21 B- C C+ C B- B 64.2 Dazon Ingram
C 6'10" 265 22 B- C C- C B- B 64.0 Tyler Davis
PF 6'10" 280 29 B+ C- C- A- B- C 64.0 Giuseppe Longfellow
PG 6'0" 150 18 C+ B- C+ D+ D A 64.0 Calvin Cambridge
C 6'10" 275 28 B- C- C B+ A- B 64.0 Slim Charles
C 6'10" 205 23 C+ C C- A- C C 63.9 Tariq Owens
CG 6'6" 180 20 B- C+ C+ B- C- B 63.8 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
PG 6'3" 177 24 C- B+ B C- D B 63.8 Bryant McIntosh
SG 6'5" 175 22 B- C+ C+ C C C 63.8 Lagerald Vick
C 6'10" 240 26 B+ C- D B B+ C 63.7 Tobi Oyedeji
PF 6'8" 255 31 B C- C- A- B C 63.4 Russell Jones
PF 6'5" 295 28 B C- D+ B- A- B 63.4 Quenton Nelson
F 6'8" 210 17 C+ C+ C- C C+ A 63.4 Trendon Watford
PG 6'3" 185 21 C B- C+ C+ C- A 63.2 Devonte Green
PG 5'10" 210 21 C B- B- C D C 63.2 Rakym Felder
CG 6'2" 175 23 C B- C+ C+ C B 63.0 Chink Crossin
PG 6'3" 190 33 B C A C- C D 63.0 Nicklaus Templeton
PG 6'0" 185 25 B C B+ B C- B 62.9 Ian Miller
C 7'2" 215 44 C C C B B- F 62.7 Spooky Skeleton
PG 6'2" 175 20 C+ C+ B+ B D+ B 62.6 Darrian Ringo
PG 5'11" 165 26 C- B B B- C- B 62.4 Jaron Willis
PG 6'1" 165 21 C+ C+ B+ B- C- B 62.3 Markell Johnson
SF 6'7" 240 21 C C+ C- C+ C+ A 62.2 Reuben Lautenschlager
C 6'7" 230 30 B+ C- D+ B B D 61.9 Leroy Edwards
SF 6'5" 210 20 C B- C- C+ C- B 61.8 Justin Minaya
CG 6'5" 220 21 C B- C+ C+ C- A 61.8 Rawle Alkins
SG 6'6" 205 23 C B- C+ C+ D+ D 61.7 Zach McRoberts
C 7'2" 265 27 C+ D+ C- A- A- D 61.6 Karim Shabazz
CG 6'2" 215 25 C- B C+ B+ D+ C 61.6 Duane Notice
SG 6'3" 190 22 C B- C- C+ D+ B 61.6 Chuck Chuckovits
CG 6'2" 188 19 C B- C C+ D+ A 61.6 Lindell Wigginton
C 6'10" 235 30 B- D+ C- B A- C 61.5 Salami Brometheus
C 6'10" 270 27 B- C- C+ A- B C 61.5 Kobe Maggette
SG 6'4" 200 27 C- B+ C+ C+ D+ C 61.5 Jeff Gordon
PF 6'10" 240 20 C+ C D+ B- C+ B 61.5 Bruno Fernando
PG 6'3" 190 19 B- C+ C+ C- C- A 61.4 Jalek Felton
C 6'5" 240 23 C C C- B- B- A 61.3 George Hauptfuhrer
PF 6'7" 225 27 A D C+ C B B 61.3 Odin James
CG 6'4" 190 20 C+ C+ B- B+ C B 61.2 De'Anthony Melton
PF 6'10" 285 30 B C- C- B+ B C 61.2 Kevin Nash
C 6'10" 255 30 C C D+ B+ C+ C 61.0 Dan Otten
SG 6'4" 210 23 C+ C+ C- B- C+ A 61.0 Bulbs Ehlers
CG 6'2" 180 23 C B- C- C+ D D 60.9 Wes Myers
SG 6'7" 220 20 C+ C+ B+ B C B 60.9 Troy Brown
CG 6'4" 210 22 C+ C+ B B C B 60.8 Josh Reaves
CG 5'10" 185 27 C B- B C+ D C 60.8 Frank Baumholtz
C 6'11" 260 21 B D D B C+ C 60.6 Daniel Giddens
PF 6'11" 275 25 B C- D+ B- B+ B 60.4 Mountain Dew Camacho
SG 6'5" 210 20 C+ C+ C B- C B 60.4 Nickeil Alexander-Walker
PG 6'4" 175 19 C+ C+ C+ C+ C+ B 60.2 Aljami Durham
SG 6'4" 195 29 C- B C B+ C C 60.2 Johnny Logan
F 6'8" 250 21 A- D+ D B C+ B 60.2 Nick Ward
SG 6'8" 195 19 C+ C+ C C+ C A 59.8 Kris Wilkes
C 7'3" 260 30 B C- D B+ B- C 59.7 Christopher Robin
C 6'10" 235 31 B- D+ C- B+ B+ D 59.7 DJ Rony
C 6'11" 235 30 B- C- C- B B+ C 59.6 Jerod Kundla
C 6'9" 220 18 B+ D+ D+ B- B B 59.6 Simisola Shittu
PF 6'9" 230 31 B C- D B+ B- D 59.6 Junior Battle
SG 6'3" 195 30 C- B C- B- C C 59.4 Dick O'Keefe
F 6'9" 215 19 C- C C C+ A- B 59.2 Jarred Vanderbilt
C 6'9" 225 21 B D+ C- B C+ B 59.2 Donta Hall
CG 6'3" 205 26 C+ C+ A- C- B- B 59.1 Andy Phillip
CG 6'3" 180 22 C C+ B A- C+ C 58.7 Joseph Chartouny
PF 6'10" 254 20 C- C+ D C+ B- A 58.7 Tai Wynward
F 6'8" 200 20 C- C+ C+ C B B 58.5 Alize Johnson
PG 6'1" 180 24 D+ B- B+ B- D+ B 58.5 Nate Mason
C 6'10" 220 22 B- C- D B- B+ C 58.4 James Thompson IV
PG 6'3" 185 19 B- C B- C+ D+ A 58.4 Trevon Duval
C 6'11" 250 19 B- C- C- B B C 57.9 Goga Bitadze
C 6'8" 240 25 B- D+ C- B+ B B 57.9 Cracker McCallahan
PG 5'11" 165 21 C C+ B B- D A 57.9 Ken Sailors
SG 6'4" 205 23 C C+ C B- B- B 57.9 Fritz Nagy
PG 6'4" 160 18 B- C B- C D+ A 57.9 Ayo Dosunmu
C 6'11" 230 24 C+ C- D+ B B- B 57.8 Salado Valarado
SG 6'1" 190 34 B- C B B- D+ C 57.7 Mel Riebe
PG 5'10" 170 21 C- B- B+ C D+ B 57.7 Jared Harper
C 7'6" 300 29 B+ C- C+ B C+ C 57.7 Kenny George
SF 6'6" 200 19 C+ C C- C C+ B 57.5 Charles O'Bannon Jr.
SG 6'3" 185 22 C- B C+ C+ D+ B 57.3 Daryl Macon
C 6'11" 270 34 B+ C- C- C+ B- D 57.1 George Kok
C 6'11" 240 20 B- C- D+ B- B B 56.8 Nick Richards
C 6'10" 240 28 B C- D+ C+ B C 56.6 Hank Hill
F 6'11" 195 17 C C C+ C+ C+ A 56.4 Alexis Antetokounmpo
C 7'0" 240 28 C+ C- B A- B- B 56.4 Chandler Chandler
PG 6'2" 190 23 C- B- B- C D A 56.3 Andy Tonkovich
PF 6'7" 210 31 B- C- C- B B- C 56.3 Hoot Gibson
PF 6'8" 245 32 C- C C- B B- C 56.2 Georga Glamack
SG 6'4" 200 29 C+ C C A- C C 56.1 Bradley Bleal
C 6'11" 255 24 B D+ D+ B- B- C 56.0 John Egbunu
PF 6'10" 240 21 C- C+ C+ C+ C+ A 55.9 Billy Preston
PF 6'9" 200 24 C+ C- C- B+ B C 55.6 Khadeem Lattin
CG 6'3" 165 17 C- B C+ C- C- A 55.5 LaMelo Ball
SF 6'6" 190 21 C- B- C- C+ C- B 55.5 VJ King
C 7'6" 300 24 B+ D- F+ B A- C 55.4 Tacko Fall
SF 6'8" 265 20 D C B C+ B B 55.3 Athansios Cathasach
C 6'11" 240 19 B- C- D B- B- B 55.2 Sterling Manley
C 6'9" 250 22 B- D+ D+ B B- C 55.1 Elijah Thomas
C 6'9" 335 26 C C- C- A- B C 55.0 Corey Woods
F 6'7" 235 20 B C- C C+ B- A 54.9 PJ Washington
PG 6'2" 185 22 C+ C C B+ C B 54.7 Jevon Carter
SG 6'5" 200 19 C+ C C B- C A 54.6 Hamidou Diallo
PG 6'0" 180 30 C C B+ B+ C- C 54.0 Ulaakees Galmuseeth
CG 6'3" 185 22 C C+ B C D+ C 53.9 Shelton Mitchell
C 7'0" 245 21 C- C D B C+ C 53.4 Omer Yurtseven
PG 5'11" 190 29 C C B B+ C- C 53.3 John Stockston
PF 6'9" 215 23 C D+ C- B+ B+ C 53.2 Kyle Alexander
C 6'7" 260 29 C+ C- C- B- B C 53.1 Ed Sadowski
C 6'6" 230 21 C+ C- D+ B- B B 53.1 Jordan Murphy
PG 6'2" 180 20 C C A- C D+ B 53.0 Seventh Woods
PF 6'9" 249 20 D+ C+ C+ C- B- D 52.5 Felipe Haase
SG 6'6" 200 23 B+ C- C+ B- C+ C 52.4 Terance Mann
PF 6'9" 225 25 B- C- C- B- C+ C 52.3 Johnathan Williams
PF 6'8" 205 18 B- C- D+ B- C+ A 52.2 Shareef O'Neal
C 6'11" 220 19 B C- D C+ C+ B 52.1 Mitchell Robinson
PF 6'7" 220 19 B C- D+ C+ C+ A 52.0 Justin Smith
PF 6'9" 237 21 B D- C B+ B+ B 51.2 Robert Williams
F 6'10" 190 20 B- C- C- B C A 51.1 Kostas Antetokounmpo
F 6'9" 220 20 C D+ C B- B+ C 50.7 Kenny Wooten
C 7'2" 226 24 C D+ D B+ B- C 50.0 Paschal Chukwu
SG 6'2" 205 20 C C C C+ C B 50.0 David Beatty
C 6'10" 200 32 B D B B B- C 50.0 Markieff Eaton
C 6'9" 210 24 C+ D+ D+ A- C B 49.9 Tai Odiase
C 6'8" 220 20 C+ D D A- B C 49.5 Paul Paulicap
SF 6'9" 190 17 C+ C- C C+ B- A 49.4 Precious Achiuwa
F 6'8" 240 24 B C- C- C- B- B 49.4 Reid Travis
SF 6'6" 189 22 C+ C- C+ C+ B- B 49.3 Charles Matthews
SG 6'4" 200 22 D+ B- D D D D 49.2 Elijah Brown
SG 6'5" 210 20 C C C+ C+ C- A 48.8 Kostja Mushidi
C 6'10" 250 20 B+ D D+ C+ B- B 48.7 De'Ron Davis
F 6'7" 235 19 B- D+ C- B- C A 48.7 Aamir Simms
PF 6'9" 215 30 D C A- C B C 48.5 Lasto Picko
SF 6'9" 190 17 C- C+ C- C+ C- A 48.4 Jabari Firesheets
SG 6'2" 195 28 B C- C+ C+ C C 48.2 Dick Triptow
PF 6'9" 215 27 C C- C+ C+ B B 48.1 Jack Coleman
PG 5'10" 180 20 B- C- B- B+ C B 47.7 Brian Beard Jr.
PF 6'7" 210 22 B- D- D C+ A- C 47.7 Devontae Cacok
C 7'0" 350 30 B- D- C- B+ B C 47.6 Allister Baratheon
SG 6'4" 200 19 C C C+ C D A 47.3 Jewell Young
C 6'10" 260 19 B+ D D C B- A 47.0 Austin Wiley
C 6'11" 220 21 C+ C- D+ C+ C+ A 46.6 Dewan Huell
C 6'11" 225 30 C D+ D C- A- C 46.1 Arnie Risen
CG 6'0" 185 22 C- C+ C+ B- D A 46.1 Buddy Jeannette
PF 6'11" 234 20 C+ D C- B B C 46.0 Daniel Gafford
CG 6'1" 183 21 C- C+ B- C C- C 45.6 Hassani Gravett
F 6'5" 175 21 C+ D C+ C A- C 45.6 Jemerrio Jones
C 7'4" 235 23 B D- D- B+ C+ B 45.3 Christ Koumadje
C 7'1" 255 21 B- D D- C+ B- B 44.7 Tryggvi Hlinason
SG 6'4" 195 25 C+ C- C A- C+ C 44.0 Stanford Robinson
C 6'11" 245 29 C- C- C B- B C 43.9 Chick Halbert
PF 6'10" 200 23 C+ D C+ B- B- B 43.2 Ethan Happ
C 6'6" 220 23 D+ D+ D+ B B C 43.2 Freddie McSwain Jr
C 6'8" 220 31 C D D B B- D 41.5 Don Barksdale
C 6'9" 230 23 C D C- C+ B+ C 41.4 Angel Delgado
SG 6'7" 200 20 C- C C+ C+ C- A 40.5 Emmanuel Akot
PF 6'9" 215 19 B- D C- C C+ B 40.0 Garrison Brooks
C 6'6" 280 32 D C- B- B B- C 39.2 Stan Podolak
PF 6'8" 220 29 C- D D A- B- D 38.7 Kenyon Stone
C 6'11" 245 20 C+ D- D B C+ B 38.3 Marques Bolden
C 7'0" 200 24 C D- C- A- C C 36.7 Anas Mahmoud
CG 6'7" 200 20 C C- B- C C- B 35.5 Abdoulaye N'doye
PF 6'10" 230 21 C D C- C+ C+ B 35.3 Sasha Killeya-Jones
C 7'0" 280 22 A F+ D B B- C 33.1 Udoka Azubuike
PF 6'10" 240 21 C- D D+ B- C B 28.7 Chase Jeter
PF 6'9" 240 20 C D- D C C- A 22.8 Jericho Sims
C 6'9" 260 23 B F D+ C A C 20.1 Rokas Gustys
C 6'10" 245 21 C- F+ C C B- B 3.3 Maik Kotsar
C 6'10" 305 36 B- F- D A- C+ D 2.0 Zeus Shuttlesworth
PF 6'9" 235 20 C+ F D B C- A -0.2 Galin Smith
So now that we have an objective (my own biases about what makes a player good excluded) ranking of all the players in the draft based on the grades that we have assigned, let's answer some questions about which GM's are good and which GM's suck!
Note: for the purpose of ranking players, I treated each FA signing after the draft as another draft pick and slotted them in order of signing. For example, there were 290 players drafted. The 8th player signed in FA would be pick# 298.
Who made the biggest reach?
1. Magic (-375) - Udoka Azubuike (Drafted at 63, Big BoardTM #438)
2. Bucks (-319) - Tacko Fall (Drafted at 51, Big BoardTM #370)
3. Warriors (-299) - Robert Williams (Drafted at 93, Big BoardTM #392)
4. Hornets (-287) - Trevon Duval (Drafted at 57, Big BoardTM #344)
5. Jazz (-284) - Corey Woods (Drafted at 90, Big BoardTM #374)
Honorable mentions:
(-103) RJ Barrett, Hornets (Drafted at 2, Big BoardTM #105)
(-173) Collin Sexton, Timberwolves (Drafted at 1, Big BoardTM #174)
(-241) Tobi Oyedeji, Pacers (Drafted at 45, Big BoardTM #286)
#1 is obviously a case of where the Big BoardTM was wrong. When I made the grades for Azubuike, I was attempting to create the model of an athletic finisher at the rim who has the potential to be a plus defender and rebounder. I didn't think it could happen in the software, but the early returns from preseason are fairly good. Regardless, the Big BoardTM nerfed him because of my own previous biases about the F+ outside. Looks like we were wrong at Big BoardTM about his ability to be useful, although the value on the pick is still a little questionable IMO. Big BoardTM doesn't give a shit about your D/R bigs, obviously.
LOL Fecta. Trevon Duval was the only non-big reach in the top 5 which followed up his RJ Barrett pick, who was the first guy to be an over-100 spot reach per the Big Board.
Collin Sexton was always going to be overdrafted based on what the Big Board said due to his youth and Odin's love of Alabama. But trading up to draft a guy to play PG who can't play PG yet and then having the 1.1 be a super-sub? Yikes.
Who had the best steal of the draft?
1. Mavericks (+291) - Fletcher McGee (signed at #331, Big BoardTM #40)
2. Hornets (+282) - Jared Terrell (signed at #345, Big BoardTM #63)
3. Knicks (+280) - Richard Richards (signed at #317, Big BoardTM #37)
4. Bucks (+279) - Tra Holder (signed at #398, Big BoardTM #119)
5. Hawks (+262) - Desean Murray (signed at #337, Big BoardTM #75)
Honorable Mentions:
(+170) Phil Lovelette (Drafted at 180, Big Board #10)
(+130) Omar Little (Drafted at 151, Big Board #21)
(+80) Keita Bates-Diop (Drafted at 116, Big Board #36)
The Big BoardTM WILL overrate your shooters. Most of these guys in the top 5 were propped up by A or better shooting. They may have been overlooked as everyone will need efficient scoring but it remains to be seen if their elite skill can cover up the other flaws in their games.
The people who drafted best in the middle rounds according to the Big BoardTM were those who went and got 30+ scoring guards on short contracts who fell further than they should have.
Also, shoutout to newish GM Val Venis for making a great pick with Keita Bates-Diop, who had a nice all-around skill profile for a young player.
On average, who got the most value for their picks?
To answer this question, I took the delta between Big BoardTM slot and draft slot for each player drafted by each team and I took the average of those values.
Best:
Rockets (+52.9)
Knicks (+34.1)
SuperSonics (+30.8)
Magic (+30.3)
Clippers (+30.1)
Worst:
Raptors (-77.0)
Hornets (-76.6)
Warriors (-66.8)
Cavaliers (-59.8)
Lakers (-48.7)
Keep in mind the Big BoardTM is weighted towards current production because we are answering the question "who can compete this year" before all you guys who drafted teenagers get up in arms about being listed in the bottom 5.
Who drafted the youngest/oldest teams?
Oldest:
Spurs - 31.3 years old
Knicks - 29.3 years old
Clippers - 29.0 years old
Cavaliers - 28.5 years old
SuperSonics - 27.5 years old
Youngest:
Hornets - 19.9 years old
Bullets - 20.8 years old
Bulls - 21.1 years old
Nuggets - 21.6 years old
Raptors - 21.6 years old
The future is (maybe) bright for very young teams like the Hornets and Bulls and Bullets. The Spurs better get ready to make a run in the postseason this season and then a run to Germany this offseason.
Who acquired the most talent?
To answer this question, I looked at the total sum of the grades of all players acquired by each team. Obviously, this number will be skewed at the top by those that have filled their G-League programs. But maybe that will be a benefit down the road?
Best:
Kings - 28 players, 1646.4 grade sum
Hawks - 22 players, 1519.7 grade sum
Heat - 18 players, 1166.0 grade sum
Timberwolves - 16 players, 1077.7 grade sum
Globetrotters - 15 players, 1052.0 grade sum
Worst:
Cavaliers - 10 players, 685.8 grade sum
Raptors - 11 players, 716.5 grade sum
Lakers - 12 players, 752.8 grade sum
Bucks - 12 players, 781.2 grade sum
Hornets - 12 players, 782.3 grade sum
So much for everyone who said the Central was stacked.
Who acquired the the most talented players on average?
Finally, on average, who drafted the most talented players. For this calculation, I just took the total grade sum number above and divided it by number of players to show who extracted the most value for each person they acquired.
Keep in mind when looking at the average grades, this is the scale for players based on the distribution of players in the draft file:
85-100 All-Star Caliber
74-85 Starter Caliber
67-74 Rotation Player
57-67 Replacement Level
0-57 Below Replacement
Best:
Knicks - 75.7 average grade
Spurs - 75.0 average grade
Clippers - 74.4 average grade
SuperSonics - 73.9 average grade
Rockets - 73.8 average grade
Worst:
Kings - 58.8 average grade
Lakers - 62.7 average grade
Nuggets - 63.3 average grade
Heat - 64.8 average grade
Bucks - 65.1 average grade
In summary, I think there is a pretty clear group of winners and losers from this year's creation draft. Rockets, Clippers, Knicks, Hawks, Spurs, SuperSonics all consistently rated well and the preseason results reflect that. Teams like the Warriors, Hornets, Lakers, etc. did not and the preseason also reflects that.
Footnote: Here is the full chart with the data from the pivot I used for the second half of the article.
GrdSum GrdMean DltMax DltMin DltMean AgeMean Players Team
984.3 75.7 280.0 -61.0 34.1 29.3 13.0 Knicks
900.2 75.0 194.0 -122.0 12.3 31.3 12.0 Spurs
1041.3 74.4 220.0 -197.0 30.1 29.0 14.0 Clippers
960.7 73.9 144.0 -68.0 30.8 27.5 13.0 SuperSonics
1033.7 73.8 221.0 -164.0 52.9 26.8 14.0 Rockets
880.0 73.3 149.0 -118.0 10.4 25.0 12.0 Celtics
938.8 72.2 243.0 -251.0 5.2 24.4 13.0 Suns
936.9 72.1 229.0 -375.0 30.3 23.8 13.0 Magic
851.1 70.9 154.0 -268.0 -1.3 20.8 12.0 Bullets
989.4 70.7 233.0 -97.0 7.6 24.1 14.0 Grizzlies
844.4 70.4 251.0 -284.0 -19.6 24.8 12.0 Jazz
1052.0 70.1 224.0 -171.0 7.9 26.1 15.0 Globetrotters
837.0 69.8 170.0 -232.0 -18.8 24.4 12.0 Pistons
1038.5 69.2 222.0 -266.0 -5.8 23.0 15.0 Trailblazers
1519.7 69.1 262.0 -199.0 8.9 23.0 22.0 Hawks
1033.4 68.9 173.0 -218.0 -15.3 24.3 15.0 Wizards
685.8 68.6 123.0 -241.0 -59.8 28.5 10.0 Cavaliers
1077.7 67.4 179.0 -190.0 -9.1 24.9 16.0 Timberwolves
803.4 67.0 130.0 -299.0 -66.8 25.0 12.0 Warriors
929.2 66.4 247.0 -175.0 -30.9 21.1 14.0 Bulls
927.8 66.3 244.0 -241.0 -42.1 24.3 14.0 Pacers
782.3 65.2 282.0 -287.0 -76.6 19.9 12.0 Hornets
912.1 65.2 291.0 -226.0 -46.1 24.9 14.0 Mavericks
716.5 65.1 99.0 -261.0 -77.0 21.6 11.0 Raptors
781.2 65.1 279.0 -319.0 -34.6 22.9 12.0 Bucks
1166.0 64.8 144.0 -175.0 -5.3 22.9 18.0 Heat
949.3 63.3 101.0 -235.0 -36.4 21.6 15.0 Nuggets
752.8 62.7 193.0 -232.0 -48.7 24.3 12.0 Lakers
1646.4 58.8 137.0 -214.0 8.7 22.8 28.0 Kings
