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Pronman: Way too early top 25 for the 2019 NHL draft
By Corey Pronman Jun 25, 2018 91
The 2018 NHL draft ended on Saturday, and a whole day has passed without me writing about the draft, so I figure it’s overdue for me to start with a way too early look at the 2019 NHL draft. What follows is a look at the 25 guys I feel are currently the top tier for the upcoming class.
The 2019 class has a couple of star quality prospects at the top of the class in Jack Hughes and Kaapo Kakko.
Jack Hughes is the premier name everyone knows about, but even excluding Hughes, the probable first overall pick, this is a very strong USA crop. The USNTDP boasts one of its strongest classes ever, a big reason why they rolled a lot of teams this past season and have a lot of representation high in the first round.
In the USNTDP history, five of their top 10 U17 scorers were last season: Jack Hughes at first, Cole Caufield at third, Matthew Boldy at fourth, Alex Turcotte at eighth and Trevor Zegras at ninth.
I could see this USNTDP team produce at least five first-round picks for this draft, and that number could pass seven.
Another clear thing from the 2019 draft is that Western Canada is deep at the top of the class. After a down season in 2018, this next crop is as strong a WHL crop as I’ve seen in a few years. There are only two prospects in my top 10 who aren’t part of the USNTDP nor play in Western Canada.
In terms of my early tiers, it goes Hughes then a drop. Kakko then a drop. And I view Trevor Zegras through Alex Newhook as the early top group.
This is the most scouting I’ve done of any draft class a year in advance, which I owe to The Athletic investing in my travels and our readers for subscribing.
1. Jack Hughes, C, USNTDP-USHL
Everyone was incredibly impressed when Andrei Svechnikov scored 1.2 points per game as a 16-year-old in the USHL. Hughes, at the same age, scored at nearly double that rate. He lit every level on fire wherever he went this past season like no 16-year-old has ever done at the NTDP. He has elite speed, hands and vision, with his only weakness being his size. He’s a dominant offensive player with the potential, if he keeps developing well, to be a star NHL center.
2. Kaapo Kakko, RW, TPS-Liiga
Kakko continues in the line of elite talent out of Finland in recent years, as he is a forward prospect up there with the very best players that country has produced lately at the same age. He’s a 6-foot-2 forward with elite skills and intelligence who uses his big frame to maintain puck possession. He makes so many high caliber plays and projects to be a premier playmaker at the NHL level. He’s not as fantastic a skater, but he’s solid in that area with enough power to be elusive.
3. Trevor Zegras, C, USNTDP-USHL
Zegras didn’t have the giant numbers like his teammate Hughes and Cole Caufield, but I was every bit impressed by his talent level. After a lot of the call-ups happened midseason, Zegras’ game went to another level. He needs some maturing in his game, but he has high-end speed, skill and playmaking ability. He’s the kind of player who can push the pace with his skating and hands, but also QB a power play very well. He’s not a big guy, but he still could be an impact player at the pro level
4. Peyton Krebs, LW, Kootenay-WHL
Krebs, the former first overall pick in his WHL Bantam draft, is a highly talented player who plays with a ton of pace and energy. He has fantastic speed, makes plays at a quick pace and works as hard as anyone on the ice. Krebs is fearless in how he attacks defenders. He’s also a very intelligent playmaker who can pull up to make a skilled play. Krebs led all rookies in scoring in the WHL last season, and I expect big things in 2018-19.
5. Alex Turcotte, C, USNTDP-USHL
Turcotte is a fun player to watch. He’s not a big guy, but plays a big man’s game. He has great speed, as he’s a high-end skater if not bordering on elite, and the way he barrels down on defenders and drives the net is a distinct trait to his game. While he tends to attack in a direct manner, Turcotte is also quite skilled and can make plays too. I wouldn’t characterize his skills as high-end, but they’re noticeably good, and coupled with his speed and work ethic, he can make an impact.
6. Bowen Byram, D, Vancouver-WHL
Byram was excellent as a 16-year-old in the WHL this season and established himself as the clear top defenseman for the 2019 draft. His best trait is his hockey sense. Byram is a very smart, all-around defenseman, who can move the puck with pace and creativity. He’s skilled, quite mobile and, despite not being that tall, projects as an all-situations type of defenseman due to the fact he plays hard and makes a lot of stops.
7. Matthew Boldy, RW, USNTDP-USHL
Boldy’s success could get lost among all the other high-end producers at the NTDP this past season, but he’s a legit top talent. His hockey IQ is among the very best in his age group. He’s incredibly creative with the puck and has the offensive instincts of a premier playmaker to go along with a decent frame. Boldy making improvements in his skating since he joined the program have led to him becoming a top prospect.
8. Maxim Cajkovic, RW, Malmo-J20 SuperElit
Cajkovic had a very good 16-year-old season in Sweden, being a top player in their junior league, but he turned heads at the IIHF U18s, being one of the top underage scorers in that tournament’s history. He’s a great skater who not only has the speed to play fast, but brings a ton of energy to his shifts with his work ethic and ability to make quick plays. He’s skilled, a great passer and has a good one-timer, as well. Other than being 5-foot-11, he has all the tools you want.
9. Dylan Cozens, RW, Lethbridge-WHL
Cozens was the top rookie in the WHL this past season. He’s a high-end skater with size who plays a powerful style of game. He wins battles, gets to the net, and with his above-average hands, he is one of the better players in his age group at gaining the offensive zone. Some scouts I talk to like his hockey sense, it’s so-so when I’ve seen him, but he can make plays and with his physical attributes make an impact regardless.
10. Kirby Dach, C, Saskatoon-WHL
Dach had a great first WHL season and looks set to be a top scorer in the WHL next season. He’s a big center who is a great playmaker and can run a power play. I’ve heard some scouts describe his hands to me as great, to me they’ve looked more just good, but regardless he’s a talented offensive player. He’s not incredibly quick or gritty, but he can still use his large frame to his advantage to shield pucks.
11. Alex Newhook, C, Victoria-BCHL
Newhook was a monster in the BCHL last season, being one of the top players in the league as a 16-year-old. When I watched him this season, I didn’t see this true elite prospect that his numbers suggest, but I still see a very good player. He has high-end speed, he’s a very smart playmaker with good skills who plays with pace. Newhook isn’t the biggest guy, but he works hard.
12. Valentin Nussbaumer, C Biel-Bienne-NLA
Nussbaumer stood out to me whenever I watched him last season due to his skills. While he didn’t dominate a level, his playmaking always had very good flashes. Nussbaumer’s hands are brain are high-end. He can make tough offensive plays and dazzle on any given shift. His skating stride doesn’t look pretty, but I think his speed and overall skating effectiveness is fine. He’s not the biggest guy and will need to bulk up, but he has a ton of upside.
13. Ryan Suzuki, C, Barrie-OHL
Ryan Suzuki, the former first overall pick in his OHL class and brother of Vegas first-round pick Nick Suzuki, had a very good first season in the O. Like his brother, Ryan Suzuki is a skilled playmaker with great hockey sense. He is a player who can run a power play well due to his vision. He skates better than his brother and is taller, though I don’t find he’s quite as dynamic.
14. Raphael Lavoie, RW, Halifax-QMJHL
Lavoie moved up for me as the season went along. You don’t see many big men with the skill level he has. He has legit high-end puck skills and can make some unique plays. His feet are good for his size, probably average overall, but he can skate. I don’t think his instincts are at the same level as his hands, but he can make plays. The toolkit is rather appealing, and as a guy whose trended up quickly, we’ll see if he can continue to round out his game.
15. Arthur Kaliyev, LW, Hamilton-OHL
Kaliyev was one of the top rookies in the CHL last season, scoring 30 goals for the OHL champion Bulldogs. Kalieyev is a highly skilled power forward. He still has some filling out to do, but he takes pucks to the net very well and looks to engage physically. He has great hands, a big shot and can be a weapon on the power play. His feet are only average and he could improve the pace of his game in terms of speed and decision making, but there’s a lot of tools to work with.
16. Vasily Podkolzin, RW, Podolsk-MHL
Podkolzin is a well-rounded forward who had a solid season particularly on the international stage. He’s a very smart two-way player with the high-end vision to make difficult plays and the defensive awareness to take tough minutes. He’s skilled, he can run a power play moderately well and, while his skating stride looks a little awkward, he can get up the ice well. Podkolzin isn’t a big guy and isn’t going to dazzle with skill, but he does so much well.
17. Cole Caufield, RW, USNTDP-USHL
Caufield was a goal-scoring machine this season, being one of the most dangerous 16-year-old scorers I’ve seen at any level the past few years. One NHL scout I talked to called Caufield “Alex DeBrincat with speed” and I don’t hate that description. Caufield has got great hands, is very smart making plays as a passer but, more specifically, has the goal-scoring instincts to get into positions for scoring chances and couples that with a fantastic shot. Yes, he’s tiny — 5-foot-6 tiny to be exact — and it’s reasonable to have some skepticism, but he scored 54 goals last season.
18. Daniil Gutik, LW, Yaroslavl-MHL
I was blown away by Gutik when I saw him in November. He’s 6-foot-3 and has the puck skills of a typical small, skilled forward. He can dangle and use his big frame to possess the puck for long stretches. Gutik can make plays too and just oozes offensive potential. The main issue in his game is he’s a below-average skater and he’ll need to get quicker to hit the top echelon of this draft, but he’s not far off.
19. Anttoni Honka, D, JYP-Liiga
Honka, the younger brother of Dallas’ first-round pick Julius Honka, is a dynamic smaller offensive defenseman. Anttoni Honka’s skating, skill and offensive IQ all get high-end grades. He can push the pace individually with the puck due to his speed and puck skills, but he’s also a very smart passer who makes creative distributions. Anttoni Honka is a smaller defenseman who needs to get stronger and work on his defense, but he has a lot of upside. And yes, I know this sounds familiar to his brother.
20. Albin Grewe, RW, Djurgarden-J20 SuperElit
If you like players who are fast, gritty and play with disregard to personal harm, you’ll love Grewe. He’s very fast and has skill, but his calling card is how hard he works. He uses his speed to drive the net as well as anyone in his age group and has an edge to his game. As the players get stronger, I wonder if he has the IQ to make high-level plays, but he certainly can create offense.
21. Sasha Mutala, RW, Tri-City-WHL
Mutala’s numbers this season might not jump out like his seemingly countless WHL brethren in this class, but he’s a top talent for sure. Mutala has high-end puck skills and hockey sense, being one of the most creative players with the puck in his class. He has average size and ideally would be a better skater for a guy with his average frame, but the offensive potential is still legitimate.
22. Ilya Mironov, D, Yaroslavl-MHL
Mironov is a smart two-way defenseman with size at 6-foot-3. His hockey sense drives his value as someone who can control the flow of a shift and distribute the puck well. He’s also not afraid to use his big frame, and combined with his smarts, he can be a very solid defender. He’s not the flashiest player when it comes to his mobility or hands, but he’s about average in both departments.
23. Nolan Foote, LW, Kelowna-WHL
The younger brother of Tampa first-rounder Cal Foote and son of former NHLer Adam Foote, Nolan Foote is a talented big forward who has been productive in the WHL the past two years. Nolan Foote has very good puck skills, has the instincts to make plays and has a big shot. He’s got a big frame and can be tough to win pucks from, as well. He’s not the best skater and I have concerns about how dynamic he’ll be offensively, but he has flashes of top-level talent.
24. Jakob Pelletier, LW, Moncton-QMJHL
Pelletier quietly had a point per game season in Moncton as a 16-year-old and looks set to tear up the Q for years to come. He has all the tools you want minus his size. Pelletier is a great skater and is skilled with the puck. He’s a fantastic playmaker with legit high-end hockey sense and is a fierce competitor who can win pucks back despite his slight frame.
25. Tobias Bjornfot, D, Djurgarden-J20 SuperElit
Bjornfot is never going to wow you, but he’s a very solid two-way defenseman. The one attribute of his that stood out to me was his skating. He’s very mobile, can jump into the attack quickly and closes gaps on checks well. Bjornfot has good offensive IQ, showing vision and poise moving the puck. He has skill, but it’s not top-end. Despite not being the biggest guy, I project him to be a solid defender due to his feet and brain.
Corey Pronman is the Senior NHL Prospects Writer for The Athletic. Previously Corey worked in a similar role at ESPN and Hockey Prospectus. Follow Corey on Twitter @coreypronman.