Post by pedro el guapo on Jul 23, 2018 14:40:01 GMT
by Nate Silver
FiveThirtyEight
After much delay, I regret to inform you that there is a high probability of this season's predictions contest being cancelled. While our prognosticators, long regarded as the best in the field, can predict within a confidence interval everything from what you will eat for breakfast tomorrow to which celebrity will die next, their many models ran into something none of them could foresee: a rogue squirrel.
There is a 72% chance our server engineers kept a pet squirrel named Nutsy for some time, and he became a sort of mascot for our site. "Don't put all your acorns in one basket", we used to say to each other (±4). Among a bunch of number crunchers, there is a greater than average chance that it is nice to have a reminder that there is life outside of our models.
However, we are 94% confident of a rude awakening to the unpredictable nature of, well, nature this morning. Nutsy had been slowly gathering the peanuts (our data suggests as many a relevant data range of 100 to 2,500 nuts) from our communal trail mix bowl and stashing them inside of our servers. His nut stash hit critical mass this weekend, and all of our statistical analysis has been lost. We hope to have everything ready for an even stronger return next year. Our team puts the probability at 58%.
FiveThirtyEight
After much delay, I regret to inform you that there is a high probability of this season's predictions contest being cancelled. While our prognosticators, long regarded as the best in the field, can predict within a confidence interval everything from what you will eat for breakfast tomorrow to which celebrity will die next, their many models ran into something none of them could foresee: a rogue squirrel.
There is a 72% chance our server engineers kept a pet squirrel named Nutsy for some time, and he became a sort of mascot for our site. "Don't put all your acorns in one basket", we used to say to each other (±4). Among a bunch of number crunchers, there is a greater than average chance that it is nice to have a reminder that there is life outside of our models.
However, we are 94% confident of a rude awakening to the unpredictable nature of, well, nature this morning. Nutsy had been slowly gathering the peanuts (our data suggests as many a relevant data range of 100 to 2,500 nuts) from our communal trail mix bowl and stashing them inside of our servers. His nut stash hit critical mass this weekend, and all of our statistical analysis has been lost. We hope to have everything ready for an even stronger return next year. Our team puts the probability at 58%.