Post by eric on Jul 13, 2018 20:12:37 GMT
A few notes before we begin.
-I'm moving from four updates to three. Day 90 vs day 120 doesn't seem worthwhile. Instead I will do day 30, day 70, day 120.
-I actually started this last year to deal with Leonard Leslie, but any player who has played a minute in previous sim league seasons is no longer eligible for the rookie ladder regardless of what their player page says.
-I'm also moving to a .44 * FTA modifier instead of .555 for true shot attempts. The empirically determined value I found for 5.0 was .434 and I don't think the increased precision by using the tiny deviation from the IRL value is worth explaining to people. This changes the league average from 1.05 to 1.08 and also slightly rearranges players so that those who take a disproportionately higher number of FTAs per FGAs will look slightly better than they used to.
-Don't worry about it.
.
preseason
.
1. Stromile Swift C
This class in general looks stronger overall than previous years, but so far it also looks like there are more players with strengths and weaknesses instead of being just okay across the board. Legendary member of Druce's 4.0 title winning Trailblazer core Stromile Swift is the former. Right about the best efficiency in class, nearly the best rebounder, elite bleal numbers. The only weakness is a turnover issue that's unlikely to be solved naturally, but since it's only 2, he's a pretty easy #1.
.
2. Ricardo Strong SF
Ricardo might be a software guy who's getting deleted. If he sticks around, he's got real nice efficiency and defensive numbers but the turnovers are a scooch too high and the boards are disgusting. Strengths and weaknesses.
.
3. Mike Miller SG
As expected Miller is filling it up and not getting too bent out of shape about defense. Another player with a little too much turning it over, Miller adds a surprising strength of rebounding and takes the #3 slot.
.
4. DeeAndre Hulett SF
DeeAndre suffers from the cursed C Outside with some Three Point Shooting, but he still put up a respectable percentage even playing at SF. Playing at his natural (and only allowed) position should bump the boards up nicely too. There's a big gap between The Big Measureable and Miller Time.
.
5. Marcus Fizer PF
A worse version of Stromile across the board. That that's still good enough for #5 shows how good Stromile is looking.
.
6. Nathan Wootten PG
I'm pretty sure this player is also getting deleted but he'd be a great prospect if not. Turnovers are the big concern but they grow well for point guards, d/r numbers are okay, and as his three pointer grew to match his jumper you could expect "WOOT there it is!" blaring from every Utahboombox Honda Accord.
.
7. Ken Nielsen PG
Another maybe deleted player. Man heavyreign was putting in WORK and it's all for naught. Nielsen is more of an all rounder type, not bad at anything, not great at anything.
.
8. Livio Jean-Charles PF
The much maligned French striker looked to silence critics with solid efficiency in front of goal, but an utter lack of tracking back or minding the transition game is sure to leave many unsatisfied. Surprised by showing great poise on the ball, was very difficult to dispossess, which could allow him to add hold up play to his game.
.
9. Hedo Turkoglu PF
Pretty close to Mike Miller in stats, the big difference being that Hiyadet was playing PF so the boards aren't as legit and he can't play SG. And he turned it over another half time per 36. Other than that they're neck and neck.
.
10. Jaquay Wells SF
Not in love with anyone for the ten spot, but I did think it was worth pointing out that a player with "Strength: 3pt Shot" didn't end up with the dreaded low jumper high three combo. The spread sheet estimates him at 91 jumper 35 three, which is definitely workable. Jaquay himself is overall more of a third or fourth wing type, and without SG eligibility that's not really gonna work.
.
stats
-I'm moving from four updates to three. Day 90 vs day 120 doesn't seem worthwhile. Instead I will do day 30, day 70, day 120.
-I actually started this last year to deal with Leonard Leslie, but any player who has played a minute in previous sim league seasons is no longer eligible for the rookie ladder regardless of what their player page says.
-I'm also moving to a .44 * FTA modifier instead of .555 for true shot attempts. The empirically determined value I found for 5.0 was .434 and I don't think the increased precision by using the tiny deviation from the IRL value is worth explaining to people. This changes the league average from 1.05 to 1.08 and also slightly rearranges players so that those who take a disproportionately higher number of FTAs per FGAs will look slightly better than they used to.
-Don't worry about it.
.
preseason
.
1. Stromile Swift C
This class in general looks stronger overall than previous years, but so far it also looks like there are more players with strengths and weaknesses instead of being just okay across the board. Legendary member of Druce's 4.0 title winning Trailblazer core Stromile Swift is the former. Right about the best efficiency in class, nearly the best rebounder, elite bleal numbers. The only weakness is a turnover issue that's unlikely to be solved naturally, but since it's only 2, he's a pretty easy #1.
.
2. Ricardo Strong SF
Ricardo might be a software guy who's getting deleted. If he sticks around, he's got real nice efficiency and defensive numbers but the turnovers are a scooch too high and the boards are disgusting. Strengths and weaknesses.
.
3. Mike Miller SG
As expected Miller is filling it up and not getting too bent out of shape about defense. Another player with a little too much turning it over, Miller adds a surprising strength of rebounding and takes the #3 slot.
.
4. DeeAndre Hulett SF
DeeAndre suffers from the cursed C Outside with some Three Point Shooting, but he still put up a respectable percentage even playing at SF. Playing at his natural (and only allowed) position should bump the boards up nicely too. There's a big gap between The Big Measureable and Miller Time.
.
5. Marcus Fizer PF
A worse version of Stromile across the board. That that's still good enough for #5 shows how good Stromile is looking.
.
6. Nathan Wootten PG
I'm pretty sure this player is also getting deleted but he'd be a great prospect if not. Turnovers are the big concern but they grow well for point guards, d/r numbers are okay, and as his three pointer grew to match his jumper you could expect "WOOT there it is!" blaring from every Utah
.
7. Ken Nielsen PG
Another maybe deleted player. Man heavyreign was putting in WORK and it's all for naught. Nielsen is more of an all rounder type, not bad at anything, not great at anything.
.
8. Livio Jean-Charles PF
The much maligned French striker looked to silence critics with solid efficiency in front of goal, but an utter lack of tracking back or minding the transition game is sure to leave many unsatisfied. Surprised by showing great poise on the ball, was very difficult to dispossess, which could allow him to add hold up play to his game.
.
9. Hedo Turkoglu PF
Pretty close to Mike Miller in stats, the big difference being that Hiyadet was playing PF so the boards aren't as legit and he can't play SG. And he turned it over another half time per 36. Other than that they're neck and neck.
.
10. Jaquay Wells SF
Not in love with anyone for the ten spot, but I did think it was worth pointing out that a player with "Strength: 3pt Shot" didn't end up with the dreaded low jumper high three combo. The spread sheet estimates him at 91 jumper 35 three, which is definitely workable. Jaquay himself is overall more of a third or fourth wing type, and without SG eligibility that's not really gonna work.
.
stats
pts/tsa blk/36 stl/36 tov/36 ast:tov reb/36 pts/36 JSH 3SH xp/t mp Player
1.121 2.88 0.79 2.09 0.56 11.65 15.97 82.77 -13.77 1.121 1458 Stromile Swift C
1.074 1.18 1.48 1.48 1.20 5.31 18.59 80.40 55.60 1.119 561 Ricardo Strong SF
1.111 0.27 0.93 1.87 1.00 7.47 15.33 82.92 43.08 1.108 1350 Mike Miller SG
1.068 0.21 1.35 1.04 1.70 8.01 17.38 53.35 59.65 1.074 1799 DeeAndre Hulett SF
1.065 1.36 0.82 2.18 0.94 11.45 22.09 54.91 1.09 1.065 1505 Marcus Fizer PF
1.099 0.39 1.44 3.14 1.21 5.24 19.11 92.71 53.29 1.126 1403 Nathan Wootten PG
1.147 0.27 1.49 1.36 3.80 4.48 19.29 91.39 44.61 1.091 1458 Ken Nielsen PG
1.100 0.12 1.09 1.21 1.00 9.58 21.94 74.26 16.74 1.100 1544 Livio Jean-Charles PF
1.094 0.12 0.94 2.35 1.10 7.53 18.35 87.96 48.04 1.097 1775 Hedo Turkoglu PF
1.154 0.15 0.89 1.04 1.86 7.74 8.48 91.28 34.72 1.079 1186 Jaquay Wells SF
1.000 0.23 1.61 2.98 3.00 4.93 19.95 84.70 6.30 0.999 1790 AJ Guyton PG
1.089 0.59 1.76 3.75 2.25 4.57 18.88 62.65 73.35 1.006 1443 Alex Schmidt PG
1.083 0.00 0.89 3.11 1.86 5.33 21.78 67.59 #N/A #N/A 446 Ali Mathis PG
0.919 0.41 0.82 1.03 2.20 6.99 8.64 48.69 #N/A #N/A 1015 Arnoldas Kulboka SF
0.799 0.00 2.51 0.00 #DIV/0! 2.51 10.88 110.63 #N/A 0.799 13 Brad Sellers PF
1.052 0.23 0.80 1.37 1.67 10.06 16.11 65.37 3.63 1.052 1670 Brian Cardinal PF
1.046 0.53 1.06 1.80 1.88 6.25 7.73 72.15 53.85 1.049 816 Chad Grant SF
1.000 0.00 0.00 1.89 0.00 7.58 5.68 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 19 Chris Carrawell SG
1.064 1.10 0.69 0.82 1.50 7.83 12.09 73.55 17.45 1.064 1362 Chris Porter SF
0.940 0.10 1.56 3.32 2.47 2.80 10.06 83.90 42.10 0.997 1839 Courtney Alexander PG
1.953 0.00 2.57 2.57 0.00 15.43 28.29 70.95 -1.95 1.953 17 Dalibor Bagaric C
1.500 0.00 0.00 0.00 #DIV/0! 3.60 10.80 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 10 Dan Langhi SF
1.022 0.75 0.60 1.79 0.92 9.41 14.49 51.57 17.43 1.022 1253 Dan McClintock C
1.032 0.28 0.76 1.42 1.47 8.36 14.72 76.91 14.09 1.023 2009 Darius Miles SF
1.031 0.41 1.54 2.05 0.95 6.46 12.10 80.46 55.54 1.016 1825 DerMarr Johnson SG
0.873 0.27 0.81 0.54 1.25 4.60 4.20 65.71 25.29 0.871 1516 DeShawn Stevenson SG
1.048 1.07 1.18 1.30 1.18 8.76 19.66 79.63 33.37 1.004 1642 Desmond Mason SF
1.030 0.89 1.11 1.11 2.20 10.44 9.78 61.96 7.04 1.044 778 Donnell Harvey PF
0.965 1.85 0.46 1.85 2.00 11.54 15.69 68.16 #N/A #N/A 406 Dzanan Musa SF
1.092 0.31 0.92 2.31 0.67 7.69 8.00 98.88 62.12 1.075 1193 Eddie House SG
1.002 0.14 0.81 2.03 0.73 12.32 11.64 51.11 17.89 1.002 1064 Eduardo Najera PF
1.036 3.45 0.66 1.99 0.73 11.03 14.48 64.90 4.10 1.036 1491 Etan Thomas C
1.041 0.19 1.91 3.64 2.63 4.79 18.00 86.94 26.06 1.004 940 Gregory Barlow PG
1.039 0.27 0.94 1.48 2.73 5.80 14.29 93.93 -2.93 1.042 1469 Igor Rakocevic PG
1.084 1.01 0.68 1.35 1.38 9.30 22.31 76.92 -7.92 1.084 1022 Jake Tsakalidis C
1.043 0.26 0.65 1.16 1.22 10.71 8.52 65.13 3.87 1.043 1618 Jamaal Magloire C
1.049 0.13 1.39 3.93 2.26 4.06 17.11 83.86 62.14 1.048 1477 Jamal Crawford PG
1.066 0.00 2.57 2.57 2.67 4.29 12.86 110.63 2.37 1.066 25 Jason Hart PG
0.763 0.69 0.87 1.21 1.43 8.13 4.33 50.43 40.57 0.850 1102 Joel Przybilla C
0.979 0.18 0.91 4.20 1.83 6.94 13.89 51.11 39.89 0.977 985 Josip Sesar PG
1.026 1.70 0.68 2.04 1.17 9.96 20.72 47.64 8.36 1.026 1654 Kenyon Martin PF
1.062 0.00 1.10 1.76 4.88 6.15 29.63 79.22 11.78 1.058 738 Khalid El-Amin PG
1.023 1.13 0.99 3.26 0.74 6.09 14.17 93.75 52.25 1.085 1295 Luis Wachter SG
1.075 0.20 2.42 1.21 1.75 5.85 10.49 94.32 66.68 1.104 1856 Malik Newman PG
0.937 0.00 0.85 2.56 1.08 7.24 10.65 53.95 59.05 0.961 896 Mamadou N'Diaye C
1.057 0.31 1.24 1.55 3.80 5.90 8.69 70.95 20.05 1.045 626 Mark Karcher SF
0.854 0.14 1.41 3.11 2.95 5.08 12.85 71.50 19.50 0.893 1377 Marko Jaric PG
0.824 0.14 1.27 5.34 1.82 3.23 8.86 78.89 34.11 0.917 1331 Mateen Cleaves PG
1.000 0.14 1.10 0.96 2.29 3.42 7.25 81.77 9.23 0.963 1341 Mike Smith SF
1.048 0.27 1.24 2.20 1.38 7.69 30.92 91.21 34.79 1.034 1389 Morris Peterson SF
1.023 0.00 0.42 2.93 2.71 6.70 18.84 73.49 #N/A #N/A 490 Nate McMillan* PG
0.978 0.00 1.04 2.59 3.50 3.11 19.68 90.23 22.77 0.966 806 Nemanja Nedovic PG
0.790 0.14 0.70 1.67 0.33 11.02 6.56 54.47 1.53 0.790 1316 Pete Mickeal PF
0.932 0.00 0.55 1.11 1.17 10.89 9.23 53.10 15.90 0.932 1131 Primoz Brezek C
1.058 0.11 1.14 1.94 0.88 6.04 22.10 85.11 40.89 1.057 1675 Quentin Richardson SG
0.970 0.34 1.85 1.35 7.75 4.54 24.06 103.47 #N/A #N/A 1220 Seventh Woods PG
0.970 1.57 1.30 1.57 1.17 8.61 3.91 67.34 -21.34 0.970 704 Soumaila Samake C
0.902 0.14 0.82 2.99 2.77 5.71 19.97 84.89 6.11 0.902 1511 Speedy Claxton PG
1.023 0.34 1.71 1.37 1.00 3.09 12.34 78.89 #N/A #N/A 284 Tanner Robertson SF
1.058 0.10 1.44 3.69 2.78 5.13 14.05 79.30 56.70 1.060 1790 Thomas Wilder PG
1.012 0.37 0.93 1.12 2.00 12.12 12.12 62.86 #N/A #N/A 1062 Zylan Cheatham SF