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Post by jhb on Apr 16, 2020 22:38:16 GMT
If we hit Mafia, day 4 has a 25% chance of hitting mafia 75% chance of GG. If we no kill day 4 we go to day 5 and have a 33% chance of winning and 66% chance of GG by my previous math, the best play is no kill. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.[/quote] Im wondering if Ank was the kill instead of soup because the mafia didn’t want today to be no kill for the town and he was championing that |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 16, 2020 23:08:21 GMT
No kill shouldn’t even be an option today now.
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 16, 2020 23:09:11 GMT
Druce and JHB should be the next two kills but I’m not sure which order. If we choose wrong it would come down to a coin flip right?
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Post by Druce on Apr 16, 2020 23:26:10 GMT
How awful of a player would I be to be mafia and the whole time be against my teammate. That said vote me off that’s fine just don’t let Jhb skate by
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Post by Druce on Apr 16, 2020 23:41:58 GMT
So I just read through the early posts in the thread. Jhb switched his vote 3 times on day two and Delap conveniently missed this in his vote summary, then posting to let him know if he was wrong. Was he trying to hide Jhb’s vote switching and it worked or was it a simple mistake with no connection? Jhb also battled Delap on day 1 and criticized a vote for Odin based on not wanting to hone in on one player before then voting for Odin 3 posts later. Care to explain Jhb? Canes piles on Odin and was ultimately the second Odin vote once Jhb switched. Canes also said Delap he didn’t believe was the right vote, which would be a hilariously bad play if he were mafia, but so obviously bad that it could be dismissed later? My biggest takeaway from soup is that he’s been more himself, was that perhaps a strategy change from the two games he lost as mafia when he lurked in the shadows most of the game? As for me I made no vote day 2 which I explained as being due to spending time with family, which is the gods honest truth but also contradicts my activity now at 7:30 pm. One kid is playing video games and wife is getting another down while #3 is sleeping. I would prefer to not go today, though I understand voting me and if that’s what the remaining two town need to do then so be it but we need to force action from the rest of you. My biggest hunch is Jhb and I feel like soup is 2nd. Soup/canes are about the same to me though so idk
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cf3234
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Post by cf3234 on Apr 16, 2020 23:43:48 GMT
No kill shouldn’t even be an option today now. There are 4 players left. If we kill and miss, it’s game over. |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 16, 2020 23:45:58 GMT
No kill shouldn’t even be an option today now. There are 4 players left. If we kill and miss, it’s game over. “if the numbers of town and mafia are tied, as delap pointed out, the stated rules mean the game continues” |
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Post by Druce on Apr 16, 2020 23:47:50 GMT
It would be a coin flip
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Post by Druce on Apr 17, 2020 0:00:01 GMT
Feel better letting the players decide than a coin personally
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cf3234
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Post by cf3234 on Apr 17, 2020 0:07:38 GMT
There are 4 players left. If we kill and miss, it’s game over. “if the numbers of town and mafia are tied, as delap pointed out, the stated rules mean the game continues” Missed that. Thanks. So either a 25% shot followed by 50/50 coin flip or a 33% chance |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 0:15:38 GMT
Feel better letting the players decide than a coin personally But it would still be two shots versus one. |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 0:16:49 GMT
“if the numbers of town and mafia are tied, as delap pointed out, the stated rules mean the game continues” Missed that. Thanks. So either a 25% shot followed by 50/50 coin flip or a 33% chance It’s not a 25% shot. |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 0:17:34 GMT
At worst 33 but I feel it’s 50.
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cf3234
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Post by cf3234 on Apr 17, 2020 0:19:56 GMT
At worst 33 but I feel it’s 50. My ranking is Jhb Druce Soup |
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Post by Druce on Apr 17, 2020 0:21:04 GMT
Feel better letting the players decide than a coin personally But it would still be two shots versus one. Good point |
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Post by jhb on Apr 17, 2020 0:27:35 GMT
I can’t wait until we find out soup played the shit out of us and that’s why he’s still alive
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Post by jhb on Apr 17, 2020 0:28:52 GMT
Canes sticking with my read from last time since druce seems less likely now having played the way he has
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Post by Druce on Apr 17, 2020 0:32:01 GMT
Canes sticking with my read from last time since druce seems less likely now having played the way he has Any response to the wall of text I posted? |
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Post by jhb on Apr 17, 2020 0:42:02 GMT
Canes sticking with my read from last time since druce seems less likely now having played the way he has Any response to the wall of text I posted? Yes TL;DR |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 0:45:13 GMT
If canes is mafia and this is how he chose to play the game...woof.
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Post by Druce on Apr 17, 2020 1:03:33 GMT
Jhb
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cf3234
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Post by cf3234 on Apr 17, 2020 1:07:38 GMT
If canes is mafia and this is how he chose to play the game...woof. exactly jhb |
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Post by jhb on Apr 17, 2020 1:16:31 GMT
If canes is mafia and this is how he chose to play the game...woof. That’s the kind of player he is though |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 1:38:55 GMT
How awful of a player would I be to be mafia and the whole time be against my teammate. That said vote me off that’s fine just don’t let Jhb skate by In a game where players can’t be verified? It’s not an awful play at all. |
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 1:57:06 GMT
A couple minutes to deadline and none of these motherfuckers even around.
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soup
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Post by soup on Apr 17, 2020 1:59:05 GMT
druce
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Post by eric on Apr 17, 2020 2:02:03 GMT
2 jhb - canes druce
1 canes - jhb
1 druce - soup
jhb is executed
night 4 will end never
jhb was MAFIA!
congrats town
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