|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 17:55:25 GMT
I dont know if the no vote on day 1 thing is the best move. Just seems like it opens it up for the Mafia to take one of us out. although we could get some night time information to help They can do that anyway...we’re just taking a 72% chance we give them a head start |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 17:56:02 GMT
I dont know if the no vote on day 1 thing is the best move. Just seems like it opens it up for the Mafia to take one of us out. although we could get some night time information to help The mafia is taking someone out regardless. If we also take someone out a townie (higher probability we do this than get lucky and hit a mafia member), we're down two townies after one day. |
|
|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 17:56:32 GMT
But seriously, is the logic just that the odds are so much higher we kill a town member? Yes and the town is at the disadvantage that they can’t coordinate efforts The only positive to pushing a vote is to try and sniff out mafioso coordination but even doing that could lead us down the wrong path and set us back further with a super unlucky night 1 outcome |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 17:57:19 GMT
No vote
|
|
|
|
Post by Majic on Mar 13, 2020 17:58:02 GMT
I dont know if the no vote on day 1 thing is the best move. Just seems like it opens it up for the Mafia to take one of us out. although we could get some night time information to help The mafia is taking someone out regardless. If we also take someone out a townie (higher probability we do this than get lucky and hit a mafia member), we're down two townies after one day. The math part makes sense. I guess to me, I just dont know how much extra information we will learn as the town between Day 1 and 2 voting where it makes a huge difference. |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 17:58:47 GMT
The mafia is taking someone out regardless. If we also take someone out a townie (higher probability we do this than get lucky and hit a mafia member), we're down two townies after one day. The math part makes sense. I guess to me, I just dont know how much extra information we will learn as the town between Day 1 and 2 voting where it makes a huge difference. The math part is priority one. There's also an outside chance we hit the sheriff/mayor and then we're totally f'd in the a. |
|
|
|
Post by Majic on Mar 13, 2020 17:59:32 GMT
So if we just all go No Vote right away it seems like we are completely shutting down conversation and it makes the first day easier on Mafia.
They can lay low, go No Vote with everyone and then take one of us out without much effort.
I am open to going No vote, just think we should talk more before deciding.
|
|
|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 18:00:58 GMT
@bkisok do we have one of each special role and everyone else is a civilian or mafioso?
Or is that purposefully not shared
|
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 18:01:11 GMT
So if we just all go No Vote right away it seems like we are completely shutting down conversation and it makes the first day easier on Mafia. They can lay low, go No Vote with everyone and then take one of us out without much effort. I am open to going No vote, just think we should talk more before deciding. I don't see us getting much out of day 1 anyway. The only info we're going to get is from a sheriff who keeps his investigation secret and hopefully lives long enough to tell about it, and the hit the mafia does. |
|
|
|
Post by Majic on Mar 13, 2020 18:04:28 GMT
No Vote
Seems to be the best strategy
|
|
|
|
Post by 👨🏼⚕️delapandemic🚑 on Mar 13, 2020 18:04:29 GMT
I thought the general thought was that killing no one on Day 1 only helps the Mafia?
|
|
Deleted
Posts: 0
Likes:
Joined: January 1970
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2020 18:04:43 GMT
@bkisok do we have one of each special role and everyone else is a civilian or mafioso? Or is that purposefully not shared |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 18:05:27 GMT
I thought the general thought was that killing no one on Day 1 only helps the Mafia? Go on... |
|
|
|
Post by Druce on Mar 13, 2020 18:05:49 GMT
we need to get all participants posting here. there are 4 of us interacting right now just talking in circles
|
|
|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 18:05:56 GMT
So we don't necessarily have any sheriffs or we could have 3 of them?
|
|
Deleted
Posts: 0
Likes:
Joined: January 1970
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2020 18:06:46 GMT
So we don't necessarily have any sheriffs or we could have 3 of them? yes |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 18:07:22 GMT
we need to get all participants posting here. there are 4 of us interacting right now just talking in circles Yeah, we've got almost 24 hours for everyone to check in. I wasn't super involved in mafia at the end of 4.0 so I am trying to get caught up on what strategies were established. |
|
|
|
Post by 👨🏼⚕️delapandemic🚑 on Mar 13, 2020 18:07:33 GMT
3/11 (27% chance) to hit mafia on the first day, same odds to hit one of our town specials.
Given the rules (including bulletproof vests, a healer, and investigative roles) I think would lean toward No Vote on Day 1.
|
|
|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 18:08:15 GMT
3/11 (27% chance) to hit mafia on the first day, same odds to hit one of our town specials. Given the rules (including bulletproof vests, a healer, and investigative roles) I think would lean toward No Vote on Day 1. Technically we could have up to a 72.7 chance to hit a town special |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 18:08:41 GMT
3/11 (27% chance) to hit mafia on the first day, same odds to hit one of our town specials. Given the rules (including bulletproof vests, a healer, and investigative roles) I think would lean toward No Vote on Day 1. We could have 8 sheriffs or whatever though. There's no guarantee that the odds are the same to hit a town special. |
|
|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 18:08:46 GMT
we need to get all participants posting here. there are 4 of us interacting right now just talking in circles Yeah, we've got almost 24 hours for everyone to check in. I wasn't super involved in mafia at the end of 4.0 so I am trying to get caught up on what strategies were established. The strategy varies wildly depending on the setup of the game |
|
Deleted
Posts: 0
Likes:
Joined: January 1970
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2020 18:08:52 GMT
But seriously, is the logic just that the odds are so much higher we kill a town member? well by that logic should we ever kill anyone |
|
|
|
Post by TimPig on Mar 13, 2020 18:09:59 GMT
Going to run to the store before the podcast starts so I'll be out for a bit.
|
|
|
|
Post by jhb on Mar 13, 2020 18:10:43 GMT
But seriously, is the logic just that the odds are so much higher we kill a town member? well by that logic should we ever kill anyone Day 1 is the only day where you have zero information |
|
|
|
Post by 👨🏼⚕️delapandemic🚑 on Mar 13, 2020 18:12:37 GMT
we could have fewer than 3 specials as well.
|
|
|
|
Post by 👼Saint Panktrick's Day👼 on Mar 13, 2020 18:13:47 GMT
Majic
|
|
|
|
Post by 👨🏼⚕️delapandemic🚑 on Mar 13, 2020 18:17:18 GMT
after reading a few refreshers/strategies... seems like we should kill on Day 1. I'm for it now... but not sure who. Inactive guys help the least, right?
Fecta/Muzunga
|
|
|
|
Post by Druce on Mar 13, 2020 18:18:37 GMT
inactive people definitely help the least, but i'm still going to give everyone a shot to pop in before i start tossing out names personally
|
|
|
|
Post by skrouse on Mar 13, 2020 18:20:45 GMT
jfc, I go to lunch, miss the start of this game and I'm already 4 pages behind.
I have forgotten mostly how to play, reading the rules/thread is bringing some of it back. I guess not killing anyone is the way to go?
|
|
Deleted
Posts: 0
Likes:
Joined: January 1970
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2020 18:21:38 GMT
ank majic
Delap fecta
Druce no vote
Egg
Fecta
JHB no vote
Majic
newguy
Odin
skrouse
Timpig no vote
|
|
